航运业脱碳的市场化措施：平衡盈利与减排

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.104725

Ying Kou , Yan Zhan , Xiaoyi Shen , Huiming Wang , Mengchi Li

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了基于市场的措施（MBM）——排放交易计划（ETS）或基于船舶效率的计划（SES）——在平衡减排和航运业经济可行性方面更有效，以及在什么条件下更有效。我们利用一个机队运营模型，评估了碳排放交易体系和SES对排放和盈利能力的影响。主要发现表明：(1)平衡减排和盈利需要激励或双速政策（一些船舶加速，一些减速）。(2)以利润为中心的运营商可能更倾向于SES，特别是在碳排放交易配额有限或环保车队的情况下；(3)尽管存在潜在的利益权衡，但政策制定者可能倾向于通过碳排放交易体系实现更大的短期减排；(4)区域性的社会经济体系可以缓解欧盟排放权交易体系的不平衡影响，但全球的MBM可能更加公平。这些见解指导战略性MBM的采用，以实现零碳航运的未来。

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Market-based measures for decarbonizing the shipping industry: Balancing profitability and emissions reduction

This study investigates which market-based measure (MBM)—emissions trading scheme (ETS) or ship efficiency-based scheme (SES)—is more effective in balancing emission reductions and economic feasibility for the shipping industry, and under what conditions. Using a fleet operational model, we assess the impact of ETS and SES on emissions and profitability. Key findings reveal: (1) Balancing emissions reduction and profitability requires incentives or dual-speed policies (some ships to accelerate and some to decelerate). (2) Profit-focused operators may prefer SES, especially with limited ETS quotas or eco-friendly fleets; (3) Policymakers may favor ETS for greater short-term emission cuts, despite potential profit trade-offs; (4) A regional SES could mitigate the EU ETS’s uneven impact, but a global MBM may be more equitable. These insights guide strategic MBM adoption for a zero-carbon shipping future.

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.