单独监禁，假释和定罪

IF 3.3 1区社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Journal of Criminal Justice Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI:10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102407

Claudia N. Anderson , Jonathan Ben-Menachem , Samuel Donahue , Jessica T. Simes , Bruce Western

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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了探索监禁对犯罪的影响，一种新兴的研究文献旨在估算单独监禁对累犯的影响。虽然单独监禁被发现与再次入狱有关，但它也降低了假释的可能性。而假释又会产生犯罪化效应，增加再次入狱的刑事犯罪净值。因此，要准确估算单独监禁的致罪效应，就必须考虑假释状况。利用 2007 年至 2020 年的监狱管理数据，我们进行了生存分析，以估计单独监禁与重新监禁之间的关联，并考虑假释状况和其他协变量。生存分析表明，一旦考虑到假释因素，单独监禁者的再监禁风险要高出约 6%。被单独监禁 90 天或更长时间的人的再监禁率要高出 15% 到 25%。在这一观察分析中，对单独监禁的非观察和非随机选择可能是造成估计影响的原因，但对大量协变量和数据子集进行控制后，结果是稳健的。

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Solitary confinement, parole, and criminalization

To explore the criminogenic effects of incarceration, a burgeoning research literature aims to estimate the impact of solitary confinement on recidivism. While solitary confinement has been found to be associated with re-incarceration, it also reduces the likelihood of parole. Parole, in turn, has the criminalizing effect of increasing re-incarceration net of criminal offending. Accurately estimating the criminogenic effect of solitary confinement thus involves accounting for parole status. Using prison administrative data for 2007 to 2020, we conduct a survival analysis to estimate the association between solitary confinement and reincarceration, accounting for parole status and other covariates. Survival analysis shows that the risk of reincarceration is about 6 % higher for those in solitary confinement, once parole is accounted for. Reincarceration rates are 15 to 25 % higher for those held in solitary confinement for 90 days or longer. In this observational analysis, unobserved and nonrandom selection into solitary confinement may account for the estimated effects, but results are robust to controls for a large set of covariates and data subsets.

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来源期刊

Journal of Criminal Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

9.10%

发文量

审稿时长

23 days

期刊介绍： The Journal of Criminal Justice is an international journal intended to fill the present need for the dissemination of new information, ideas and methods, to both practitioners and academicians in the criminal justice area. The Journal is concerned with all aspects of the criminal justice system in terms of their relationships to each other. Although materials are presented relating to crime and the individual elements of the criminal justice system, the emphasis of the Journal is to tie together the functioning of these elements and to illustrate the effects of their interactions. Articles that reflect the application of new disciplines or analytical methodologies to the problems of criminal justice are of special interest. Since the purpose of the Journal is to provide a forum for the dissemination of new ideas, new information, and the application of new methods to the problems and functions of the criminal justice system, the Journal emphasizes innovation and creative thought of the highest quality.