寒潮与电动汽车普及：来自中国城市的证据

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.104748

Jiayang Gao , Ning Zhang , Tao Zhang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

电动汽车的采用容易受到极端天气条件的影响。目前，在交通研究文献中还没有对此进行实证研究。寒潮会影响电动汽车的性能，导致消费者减少购买。我们使用了2016年至2022年期间中国293个城市的面板数据，来检验每年寒潮次数对电动汽车采用率的影响。我们发现，每增加一个寒潮，电动汽车的销量就会减少10.1%。我们采用工具变量，并进行了一系列稳健性检验，以确保我们的估计的可靠性。异质性分析表明，地形起伏度、车辆密度和公共充电设施平均距离不同的城市对电动汽车采用率的响应不同。我们的研究结果为制定与电动汽车采用和推广相关的政策提供了见解，特别是考虑到寒潮的影响。

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Cold waves and electric vehicle adoption: Evidence from Chinese cities

The adoption of EVs is susceptible to extreme weather conditions. Currently, in transportation research literature there is no empirical research studying this. Cold waves can affect the performance of electric vehicles (EVs), leading to a reduction in consumer purchases. We use panel data from 293 Chinese cities, covering the period from 2016 to 2022, to examine the effect of the annual number of cold waves on EV adoption. We find that for each additional cold wave, the number of EV sold decreases by 10.1%. We employ instrumental variables and conduct a series of robustness tests to ensure the reliability of our estimates. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that cities with different terrain relief, vehicle density, and average distance between public charging facilities respond differently to cold waves in terms of EV adoption. Our findings offer insights into policymaking related to EV adoption and promotion, particularly considering the impact of cold waves.

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.