考虑尾部风险评估的互联微电网分布式稳健协同调度和收益分配方法

IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Jialin Du , Weihao Hu , Sen Zhang , Di Cao , Wen Liu , Zhenyuan Zhang , Daojuan Wang , Zhe Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

负荷和可再生能源的不确定性对互联微电网的优化经济调度提出了巨大挑战。提出了一种分布式鲁棒优化(DRO)协同调度与协同效益分配方法。首先,构建改进的模糊集来表征负荷和可再生能源的不确定性,以减少调度策略中不必要的保守性;然后,将互联微电网日前协同调度问题构建为基于条件风险值(CVaR)的DRO模型,以准确评估策略尾部平均风险。进一步,针对双层定积分优化模型求解困难的问题,通过对偶变换和区间约束的重新表述,将原模型等效转化为易于求解的单层混合整数二阶锥规划(MISOCP)模型。随后,提出了一种基于改进Shapley值的利益分配策略,该策略考虑能源供需波动,鼓励微电网参与能源共享。最后,实例研究表明,该方法可使微网集群的日前风险和实际成本分别降低20.19%和15.07%,在源和负荷不确定的情况下,实现更公平的效益分配。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A distributionally robust collaborative scheduling and benefit fallocation method for interconnected microgrids considering tail risk assessment
The uncertainty of load and renewable energy poses a huge challenge to the optimal economic dispatch of interconnected microgrids. In this paper, a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) collaborative scheduling and cooperative benefit allocation method is proposed. First, an improved ambiguity set is constructed to characterize the uncertainty of load and renewable energy to reduce unnecessary conservatism of the scheduling strategy. Then, the day-ahead collaborative scheduling problem of interconnected microgrids is constructed as a DRO model based on the conditional value at risk (CVaR) to accurately assess the tail average risks of strategies. Furthermore, due to the difficulty of solving the double-layer definite integral optimization model, this paper equivalently transforms the original model into an easily solvable single-layer mixed-integer second-order cone programming (MISOCP) model through dual transformation and reformulation of interval constraints. Subsequently, a benefit allocation strategy based on the improved Shapley value is proposed, which considers energy supply and demand fluctuations to encourage microgrids to participate in energy sharing. Finally, the case study demonstrates that the day-ahead risks and actual costs of the microgrid cluster are reduced by 20.19 % and 15.07 %, respectively, and the proposed method can achieve more fair benefit allocation under source and load uncertainty.
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来源期刊
Applied Energy
Applied Energy 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
21.20
自引率
10.70%
发文量
1830
审稿时长
41 days
期刊介绍: Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.
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