更好的平衡:能源转型和产业结构调整,实现可持续的经济-气候-环境路径

IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Jiacong Cai , Jinyang Huang , Jianxun Yang , Miaomiao Liu , Wen Fang , Zongwei Ma , Jun Bi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在抑制碳排放和污染物排放的同时促进社会经济发展,需要在多个相互冲突的目标之间取得平衡。调整工业生产和能源消费结构,可以更好地平衡经济、气候和环境系统,实现多重目标的协调发展。本文将耦合协调度模型与传统的多目标优化模型相结合,提出了一种新的优化方法,并将其应用于江苏省。我们通过产业结构调整和能源转型,设计了2018 - 2030年实现经济、气候、环境协调发展的三条路径。在这三条路径下,江苏预计将以年均2.57%和1.76%的能源消耗和碳排放增幅支撑GDP年均6.80%的增长,同时显著减少氨氮和氮氧化物等环境污染物,年均减少22.7%和16.4%。结果表明,耦合协调度模型的集成可以有效地提高传统优化模型的性能,以更低的成本获得更好的结果。同时,它显著增强了不同目标之间的协调性,从而使到2030年实现更低的碳排放和更高的环境污染物减排。期望这一改进后的模型能够为现实世界的决策和规划提供支持,促进经济、气候和环境更加一体化的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A better balance: Energy transition and industrial restructuring for a sustainable economy-climate-environment pathway

A better balance: Energy transition and industrial restructuring for a sustainable economy-climate-environment pathway
Promoting socioeconomic development while curbing carbon emission and pollutants necessitates a balance among multiple conflicting objectives. Structural adjustments to industrial production and energy consumption can better balance the economy, climate and environment systems and achieve balanced development of multiple objectives. In this study, we propose a novel optimization method by integrating the coupling coordination degree model into traditional multi-objective optimization model and apply it to Jiangsu Province, China. Through industrial restructuring and energy transition, we design three pathways to achieve coordinated development of economy, climate, and environment from 2018 to 2030. Under these three pathways, Jiangsu is expected to support an average annual GDP growth of 6.80 % with an annual increase in energy consumption and carbon emissions of merely 2.57 % and 1.76 %, while significantly reducing environmental pollutants such as AN and NOx by 22.7 % and 16.4 % every year. Results indicate that the integration of the coupling coordination degree model can effectively improve the performance of the traditional optimization model, achieving better results at a lower cost. At the same time, it significantly enhances the coordination between different objectives, resulting in lower carbon emissions and higher environmental pollutant reductions by 2030. It is expected this improved model can provide support for real world decision-making and planning to facilitate more integrated development of economy, climate, and environment.
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来源期刊
Journal of Environmental Management
Journal of Environmental Management 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
13.70
自引率
5.70%
发文量
2477
审稿时长
84 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Management is a journal for the publication of peer reviewed, original research for all aspects of management and the managed use of the environment, both natural and man-made.Critical review articles are also welcome; submission of these is strongly encouraged.
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