罗马尼亚南部特兰西瓦尼亚森林的非线性多层看似无关的高径和冠长混合效应模型

IF 3.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY
Albert Ciceu , Ştefan Leca , Ovidiu Badea , Lauri Mehtätalo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,我们使用在罗马尼亚中部建立的广泛采样网络来开发树高和树冠长度模型。我们的分析包括来自五个不同物种的18000多棵树的测量数据。我们没有为每个响应变量建立单变量模型,而是采用了一种使用看似不相关的混合效应模型的多变量方法。这些模型纳入了与物种混合、树和林分大小、竞争和林分结构有关的变量。在多变量混合效应模型中加入其他变量后,所有树种的高度预测精度提高了10%以上,而冠长模型的精度提高幅度较小。结果表明,混交林的树冠比纯林分的树冠长,树高短。同质林分结构的树冠长度比异质林分的树冠长度短。通过采用多变量混合效应建模框架,我们能够进行跨模型随机效应预测,从而在使用两种反应来校准模型时显著提高准确性。相比之下,当仅使用高度进行校准时,精度的提高是微不足道的。我们展示了多元混合效应模型如何有效地用于开发多响应异速生长模型,该模型可以轻松地用有限数量的观测进行校准,同时获得更好的对齐预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nonlinear multilevel seemingly unrelated height-diameter and crown length mixed-effects models for the southern Transylvanian forests, Romania
In this study, we used an extensive sampling network established in central Romania to develop tree height and crown length models. Our analysis included more than 18,000 tree measurements from five different species. Instead of building univariate models for each response variable, we employed a multivariate approach using seemingly unrelated mixed-effects models. These models incorporated variables related to species mixture, tree and stand size, competition, and stand structure. With the inclusion of additional variables in the multivariate seemingly unrelated mixed-effects models, the accuracy of the height prediction models improved by over 10% for all species, whereas the improvement in the crown length models was considerably smaller. Our findings indicate that trees in mixed stands tend to have shorter heights but longer crowns than those in pure stands. We also observed that trees in homogeneous stand structures have shorter crown lengths than those in heterogeneous stands. By employing a multivariate mixed-effects modelling framework, we were able to perform cross-model random-effect predictions, leading to a significant increase in accuracy when both responses were used to calibrate the model. In contrast, the improvement in accuracy was marginal when only height was used for calibration. We demonstrate how multivariate mixed-effects models can be effectively used to develop multi-response allometric models that can be easily calibrated with a limited number of observations while simultaneously achieving better-aligned projections.
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来源期刊
Forest Ecosystems
Forest Ecosystems Environmental Science-Nature and Landscape Conservation
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
4.90%
发文量
1115
审稿时长
22 days
期刊介绍: Forest Ecosystems is an open access, peer-reviewed journal publishing scientific communications from any discipline that can provide interesting contributions about the structure and dynamics of "natural" and "domesticated" forest ecosystems, and their services to people. The journal welcomes innovative science as well as application oriented work that will enhance understanding of woody plant communities. Very specific studies are welcome if they are part of a thematic series that provides some holistic perspective that is of general interest.
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