衡量金融新闻中的气候变化及其对股市的影响

Yue Xiao , Buhong Liu , Carmine Ventre , Haochen Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为一种快速发展的可持续投资形式,环境、社会和治理(ESG)战略吸引了越来越多的投资。在这种背景下,一个核心问题是市场是否以及在多大程度上“反映”了气候变化。在本文中,我们给出了有助于回答这个问题的贡献,并为市场参与者和政策制定者提供了启示。首先,通过引入量化测度,提取财经新闻的气候维度;其次,我们对这些量化信息与3000多只股票的市场数据之间的线性和非线性关系进行了因果分析。我们的实证结果表明,从我们的表征学习方法中提取的气候信息与市场之间存在因果关系。我们还注意到,这种关系的强度随着时间的推移而减弱,这表明新闻文章中包含的气候维度迅速反映在市场上,但其影响正在逐渐减弱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A measure of climate change in financial news and its impact on the stock market
As a fast-evolving form of sustainable investing, Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) strategies have attracted more and more investments. One of the central questions in this context is whether and to what extent climate change is ‘priced in’ by the market. In this paper, we give contributions that help answer this question and offer implications for market participants and policymakers. Firstly, we extract the climate dimension of financial news by introducing a measure to quantify it. Secondly, we perform a causality analysis of the linear and non-linear relationship between this quantified information and market data on over 3,000 stocks. Our empirical results show a causal relationship between the market and the climate information extracted from our representation learning methods. We also notice that the strength of this relationship decreases over time, indicating that the climate dimension contained in the news articles is quickly reflected in the market but its effects are gradually decreasing.
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CiteScore
2.30
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