一个毫无准备的国家:英国的极端高温和适应的需要

IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Fatemeh Khosravi , Christina Demski , Louise King , Larissa Gross , Matthew Scott
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2022年7月,英国全国气温首次达到40°C。英国气象局预测,到本世纪末,英国的气温可能每三年就会超过40摄氏度。关于家庭如何应对和适应极端高温的数据有限。这项研究通过一项在线调查与英国各地的1580个家庭进行了接触,以探索家庭过热的挑战,他们对低碳冷却技术的认识以及这些挑战在过去十年中是如何变化的。结果显示,据报道,英国住宅室内过热的发生率从2011年的20%增加到2022年的82%。虽然行为适应仍然占主导地位,但空调的使用已从2011年的3%增加到过去十年的20%。我们的调查显示,如果夏季变暖的趋势继续下去,空调的采用可能会增加,这既会给电网的峰值需求带来沉重负担,也会导致经济不平等,特别是在社会经济地位较低的群体中。研究还得出结论,过热体验不仅取决于建筑设计,还可能受到地理、住宅类型和家庭特征等一系列因素的影响。热适应需要制定紧急政策,促进被动制冷战略,提高公众对热风险的认识,并改善公众沟通,以减少与热相关的健康影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A nation unprepared: Extreme heat and the need for adaptation in the United Kingdom
40 °C was recorded in the UK for the first time in July 2022 across the country. The UK Met Office predicts the UK could experience temperatures exceeding 40 °C every three years by the end of the century. There is limited data on how households cope and adapt to extreme heat. This research engaged with >1580 households across the UK through an online survey to explore household overheating challenges, their awareness of low carbon cooling technologies and how these challenges have changed over the last decade. Results show that the prevalence of indoor overheating reported in UK dwellings has increased from 20 % (2011) to 82 % (2022). While behavioural adaptations are still dominant, the use of air conditioners (ACs) has increased from 3 % in 2011 to 20 % during the last decade. If summer warming trends continue, our survey suggests, AC adoption is likely to increase, placing both a significant burden on electricity grid peak demand, and leading to economic inequalities, particularly among lower socioeconomic groups. It was also concluded that overheating experience is not solely reliant on building design and it can be influenced by range of factors including geography, dwelling type and household characteristics. Heat adaptation will require urgent policy to promote passive cooling strategies, enhance public awareness of heat risks and improve public communication to reduce heat related health impacts.
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来源期刊
Energy Research & Social Science
Energy Research & Social Science ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
14.00
自引率
16.40%
发文量
441
审稿时长
55 days
期刊介绍: Energy Research & Social Science (ERSS) is a peer-reviewed international journal that publishes original research and review articles examining the relationship between energy systems and society. ERSS covers a range of topics revolving around the intersection of energy technologies, fuels, and resources on one side and social processes and influences - including communities of energy users, people affected by energy production, social institutions, customs, traditions, behaviors, and policies - on the other. Put another way, ERSS investigates the social system surrounding energy technology and hardware. ERSS is relevant for energy practitioners, researchers interested in the social aspects of energy production or use, and policymakers. Energy Research & Social Science (ERSS) provides an interdisciplinary forum to discuss how social and technical issues related to energy production and consumption interact. Energy production, distribution, and consumption all have both technical and human components, and the latter involves the human causes and consequences of energy-related activities and processes as well as social structures that shape how people interact with energy systems. Energy analysis, therefore, needs to look beyond the dimensions of technology and economics to include these social and human elements.
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