Takeshi Hatanaka, Satoru Kakizaki, Atsushi Hiraoka, Toshifumi Tada, Masashi Hirooka, Kazuya Kariyama, Joji Tani, Masanori Atsukawa, Koichi Takaguchi, Ei Itobayashi, Shinya Fukunishi, Kunihiko Tsuji, Toru Ishikawa, Kazuto Tajiri, Hidenori Toyoda, Chikara Ogawa, Hiroki Nishikawa, Takashi Nishimura, Kazuhito Kawata, Hisashi Kosaka, Atsushi Naganuma, Yutaka Yata, Hideko Ohama, Hidekatsu Kuroda, Tomomitsu Matono, Kazunari Tanaka, Fujimasa Tada, Kazuhiro Nouso, Asahiro Morishita, Akemi Tsutsui, Takuya Nagano, Norio Itokawa, Tomomi Okubo, Taeang Arai, Michitaka Imai, Yohei Koizumi, Shinichiro Nakamura, Masaki Kaibori, Hiroko Iijima, Yoichi Hiasa, Takashi Kumada, the Real-life Practice Experts for HCC (RELPEC) Study Group, and HCC 48 Group (hepatocellular carcinoma experts from 48 clinics in Japan)
{"title":"基于mALBI分级的风险模型预测阿特唑单抗加贝伐单抗作为一线治疗的肝癌患者预后的可靠性能：13种风险模型的比较分析","authors":"Takeshi Hatanaka, Satoru Kakizaki, Atsushi Hiraoka, Toshifumi Tada, Masashi Hirooka, Kazuya Kariyama, Joji Tani, Masanori Atsukawa, Koichi Takaguchi, Ei Itobayashi, Shinya Fukunishi, Kunihiko Tsuji, Toru Ishikawa, Kazuto Tajiri, Hidenori Toyoda, Chikara Ogawa, Hiroki Nishikawa, Takashi Nishimura, Kazuhito Kawata, Hisashi Kosaka, Atsushi Naganuma, Yutaka Yata, Hideko Ohama, Hidekatsu Kuroda, Tomomitsu Matono, Kazunari Tanaka, Fujimasa Tada, Kazuhiro Nouso, Asahiro Morishita, Akemi Tsutsui, Takuya Nagano, Norio Itokawa, Tomomi Okubo, Taeang Arai, Michitaka Imai, Yohei Koizumi, Shinichiro Nakamura, Masaki Kaibori, Hiroko Iijima, Yoichi Hiasa, Takashi Kumada, the Real-life Practice Experts for HCC (RELPEC) Study Group, and HCC 48 Group (hepatocellular carcinoma experts from 48 clinics in Japan)","doi":"10.1111/jgh.16871","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Aim</h3>\n \n <p>This study aimed to compare the prognostic performance of the risk models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) as first-line treatment.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Methods</h3>\n \n <p>Among 449 patients included in this retrospective multicenter study, we compared the prognostic performance of 13 risk models for the 12-month and 18-month survival status using area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analysis. We also constructed a calibration plot to assess the fitness of each model.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Results</h3>\n \n <p>Regarding the analysis of the 12-month survival status, none of the risk models demonstrated AUC values higher than the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade. In the NRI analysis, only the IMmunotherapy with AFP, BCLC staging, mALBI, and DCP evaluation (IMABALI-De score) exhibited a statistically significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade (<i>p</i> = 0.009). While the modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALF) score and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) did not exhibit significant differences compared to the mALBI grade (<i>p</i> = 0.3 and 0.2, respectively), the remaining risk models were inferior to the mALBI grade. In the relative IDI analysis, none of the risk models showed a significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade. The calibration plot of the PNI was unsatisfactory. The results for the 18-month survival status were consistent with those for the 12-month survival status. A time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that both the mALBI grade and the mALBI-based model showed consistent performance over time.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Conclusions</h3>\n \n <p>The mALBI grade, as well as the IMABALI-De and mALF scores (both of which are risk models based on mALBI grade), exhibited reliable performance in predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC.</p>\n </section>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":15877,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology","volume":"40 4","pages":"930-939"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Reliable Performance of mALBI Grade-Based Risk Models for Predicting the Prognosis of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab as First-Line Treatment: Comparative Analysis of 13 Risk Models\",\"authors\":\"Takeshi Hatanaka, Satoru Kakizaki, Atsushi Hiraoka, Toshifumi Tada, Masashi Hirooka, Kazuya Kariyama, Joji Tani, Masanori Atsukawa, Koichi Takaguchi, Ei Itobayashi, Shinya Fukunishi, Kunihiko Tsuji, Toru Ishikawa, Kazuto Tajiri, Hidenori Toyoda, Chikara Ogawa, Hiroki Nishikawa, Takashi Nishimura, Kazuhito Kawata, Hisashi Kosaka, Atsushi Naganuma, Yutaka Yata, Hideko Ohama, Hidekatsu Kuroda, Tomomitsu Matono, Kazunari Tanaka, Fujimasa Tada, Kazuhiro Nouso, Asahiro Morishita, Akemi Tsutsui, Takuya Nagano, Norio Itokawa, Tomomi Okubo, Taeang Arai, Michitaka Imai, Yohei Koizumi, Shinichiro Nakamura, Masaki Kaibori, Hiroko Iijima, Yoichi Hiasa, Takashi Kumada, the Real-life Practice Experts for HCC (RELPEC) Study Group, and HCC 48 Group (hepatocellular carcinoma experts from 48 clinics in Japan)\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jgh.16871\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div>\\n \\n \\n <section>\\n \\n <h3> Aim</h3>\\n \\n <p>This study aimed to compare the prognostic performance of the risk models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) as first-line treatment.</p>\\n </section>\\n \\n <section>\\n \\n <h3> Methods</h3>\\n \\n <p>Among 449 patients included in this retrospective multicenter study, we compared the prognostic performance of 13 risk models for the 12-month and 18-month survival status using area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analysis. We also constructed a calibration plot to assess the fitness of each model.</p>\\n </section>\\n \\n <section>\\n \\n <h3> Results</h3>\\n \\n <p>Regarding the analysis of the 12-month survival status, none of the risk models demonstrated AUC values higher than the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade. In the NRI analysis, only the IMmunotherapy with AFP, BCLC staging, mALBI, and DCP evaluation (IMABALI-De score) exhibited a statistically significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade (<i>p</i> = 0.009). While the modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALF) score and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) did not exhibit significant differences compared to the mALBI grade (<i>p</i> = 0.3 and 0.2, respectively), the remaining risk models were inferior to the mALBI grade. In the relative IDI analysis, none of the risk models showed a significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade. The calibration plot of the PNI was unsatisfactory. The results for the 18-month survival status were consistent with those for the 12-month survival status. A time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that both the mALBI grade and the mALBI-based model showed consistent performance over time.</p>\\n </section>\\n \\n <section>\\n \\n <h3> Conclusions</h3>\\n \\n <p>The mALBI grade, as well as the IMABALI-De and mALF scores (both of which are risk models based on mALBI grade), exhibited reliable performance in predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC.</p>\\n </section>\\n </div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15877,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology\",\"volume\":\"40 4\",\"pages\":\"930-939\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jgh.16871\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jgh.16871","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Reliable Performance of mALBI Grade-Based Risk Models for Predicting the Prognosis of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab as First-Line Treatment: Comparative Analysis of 13 Risk Models
Aim
This study aimed to compare the prognostic performance of the risk models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) as first-line treatment.
Methods
Among 449 patients included in this retrospective multicenter study, we compared the prognostic performance of 13 risk models for the 12-month and 18-month survival status using area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analysis. We also constructed a calibration plot to assess the fitness of each model.
Results
Regarding the analysis of the 12-month survival status, none of the risk models demonstrated AUC values higher than the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade. In the NRI analysis, only the IMmunotherapy with AFP, BCLC staging, mALBI, and DCP evaluation (IMABALI-De score) exhibited a statistically significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade (p = 0.009). While the modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALF) score and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) did not exhibit significant differences compared to the mALBI grade (p = 0.3 and 0.2, respectively), the remaining risk models were inferior to the mALBI grade. In the relative IDI analysis, none of the risk models showed a significant improvement compared with the mALBI grade. The calibration plot of the PNI was unsatisfactory. The results for the 18-month survival status were consistent with those for the 12-month survival status. A time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that both the mALBI grade and the mALBI-based model showed consistent performance over time.
Conclusions
The mALBI grade, as well as the IMABALI-De and mALF scores (both of which are risk models based on mALBI grade), exhibited reliable performance in predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC.
期刊介绍：
Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology is produced 12 times per year and publishes peer-reviewed original papers, reviews and editorials concerned with clinical practice and research in the fields of hepatology, gastroenterology and endoscopy. Papers cover the medical, radiological, pathological, biochemical, physiological and historical aspects of the subject areas. All submitted papers are reviewed by at least two referees expert in the field of the submitted paper.
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