Feifei Shen , Shen Wan , Hong Li , Jingyao Luo , Zhixin He , Haiyan Fei , Lixin Song , Qilong Sun , Dongmei Xu , Jiajun Chen
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The BHD scheme derives each type of hydrometeor based on proportions estimated from the background for different heights and reflectivity intervals. In this study, an adaptive blending scheme is developed to integrate the BTD and BHD methods. This approach aims to mitigate errors associated with empirical temperature relationships and the fixed proportion of the weights for snow and graupel in the BTD scheme and with uncertainties inherent in the hydrometers from the background in the BHB scheme. The standard deviations of the hydrometeor mixing ratios from each scheme based on surrounding 25 grid points are utilized to derive weights that dynamically blend the contributions of the two methods. The results from the Exp_hydro experiment using the blending scheme demonstrate that this approach adaptively adjusts the hydrometeor weights of the other two retrieval schemes in response to background changes during the DA cycle. Consequently, the analysis achieves hydrometeor mixing ratios that are more consistent with the background conditions. Furthermore, the forecasts from the Exp_hydro experiment demonstrate that blending scheme improves the accuracy of the reflectivity echo structure and surface wind in the short term for the Jiangsu case. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
基于WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting)模式及其资料同化(data assimilation, DA)系统,对江苏和安徽两次对流风暴的雷达反射率进行了间接同化,探讨了不同的水流星反演方案。在雷达反射率资料的间接同化中,有两种常用的水流星反演方法:背景温度相关(BTD)方案和背景水流星相关(BHD)方案。BTD方法通过经验分配不同背景温度阈值下水成物对总等效反射率的贡献率。BHD方案根据根据不同高度和反射率间隔的背景估计的比例推导出每种类型的水流星。在本研究中,提出了一种自适应混合方案来整合BTD和BHD方法。该方法旨在减轻与经验温度关系和BTD方案中雪和霰权重的固定比例相关的误差,以及BHB方案中比重计来自背景的固有不确定性。利用基于周围25个网格点的每种方案的水流星混合比率的标准差来获得动态混合两种方法贡献的权重。混合方案的Exp_hydro实验结果表明,该方法可以根据DA周期中背景的变化自适应地调整其他两种检索方案的水流星权重。因此,分析得到的水流星混合比更符合背景条件。此外,Exp_hydro试验预报结果表明,混合方案在短期内提高了江苏地区反射率回波结构和地面风的预报精度。以安徽为例,降水和反射率的fss进一步证明了混合水流星反演方案的可测性改进。
Data assimilation of weather radar reflectivity with a blending hydrometer retrieval scheme for two convective storms in East China
Based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and its data assimilation (DA) system, different hydrometeor retrieval schemes are explored in the indirect assimilation of radar reflectivity for two convective storm cases occurred in Jiangsu and Anhui. In indirect radar reflectivity data assimilation, two frequently-used hydrometeor retrieval methods exist: background-temperature-dependent (BTD) and background-hydrometeors-dependent (BHD) schemes. The BTD method empirically assigns contribution ratio of hydrometeors to the total equivalent reflectivity across different background temperature thresholds. The BHD scheme derives each type of hydrometeor based on proportions estimated from the background for different heights and reflectivity intervals. In this study, an adaptive blending scheme is developed to integrate the BTD and BHD methods. This approach aims to mitigate errors associated with empirical temperature relationships and the fixed proportion of the weights for snow and graupel in the BTD scheme and with uncertainties inherent in the hydrometers from the background in the BHB scheme. The standard deviations of the hydrometeor mixing ratios from each scheme based on surrounding 25 grid points are utilized to derive weights that dynamically blend the contributions of the two methods. The results from the Exp_hydro experiment using the blending scheme demonstrate that this approach adaptively adjusts the hydrometeor weights of the other two retrieval schemes in response to background changes during the DA cycle. Consequently, the analysis achieves hydrometeor mixing ratios that are more consistent with the background conditions. Furthermore, the forecasts from the Exp_hydro experiment demonstrate that blending scheme improves the accuracy of the reflectivity echo structure and surface wind in the short term for the Jiangsu case. For the Anhui case, the FSSs for precipitation and reflectivity further demonstrate the measurable improvements of the blending hydrometeor retrieval scheme.
期刊介绍:
The journal publishes scientific papers (research papers, review articles, letters and notes) dealing with the part of the atmosphere where meteorological events occur. Attention is given to all processes extending from the earth surface to the tropopause, but special emphasis continues to be devoted to the physics of clouds, mesoscale meteorology and air pollution, i.e. atmospheric aerosols; microphysical processes; cloud dynamics and thermodynamics; numerical simulation, climatology, climate change and weather modification.