Zhihai Zhang , Mengxiao Tantai , Hui Ma , Sihao Yu , Bingkeng Chen , Zhidong Lu
{"title":"腰椎滑脱的危险因素分析:Logistic回归研究。","authors":"Zhihai Zhang , Mengxiao Tantai , Hui Ma , Sihao Yu , Bingkeng Chen , Zhidong Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.wneu.2025.123931","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><div>Lumbar spondylolisthesis is the forward displacement of one vertebra over another, commonly occurring at the L4/5 or L5/S1 levels. The condition is influenced by various risk factors, including age, body mass index (BMI), long-term physical labor, pelvic incidence (PI), and facet joint osteoarthritis. This study aims to identify the significant risk factors associated with lumbar spondylolisthesis through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective analysis of 531 patients diagnosed with lumbar spondylolisthesis between September 2019 and September 2024 was conducted. Data were collected on age, BMI, PI, history of lumbar trauma, long-term physical labor, congenital pedicle dysplasia, osteoporosis, intervertebral disc degeneration, and facet joint osteoarthritis. Univariate logistic regression was used to screen for significant variables, followed by multivariate logistic regression to adjust for confounding factors. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to assess the sensitivity of significant factors.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Univariate analysis identified age, BMI, long-term physical labor, PI, and facet joint osteoarthritis as significant risk factors. Multivariate analysis confirmed that age (<em>P</em> = 0.035), BMI (<em>P</em> = 0.005), and facet joint osteoarthritis (<em>P</em> = 0.002) remained statistically significant. Interaction effect analysis did not reveal any significant interactions between variables. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis were key predictors of lumbar spondylolisthesis.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis (Grade III or above) were observed as potential risk factors for lumbar spondylolisthesis, with facet joint osteoarthritis showing the highest odds ratio. These findings indicate that degenerative changes in the spine, particularly those involving the facet joints, may contribute significantly to the development of lumbar instability, although further research is needed to establish causal relationships.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23906,"journal":{"name":"World neurosurgery","volume":"197 ","pages":"Article 123931"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of Risk Factors for Lumbar Spondylolisthesis: A Logistic Regression Study\",\"authors\":\"Zhihai Zhang , Mengxiao Tantai , Hui Ma , Sihao Yu , Bingkeng Chen , Zhidong Lu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.wneu.2025.123931\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Objective</h3><div>Lumbar spondylolisthesis is the forward displacement of one vertebra over another, commonly occurring at the L4/5 or L5/S1 levels. The condition is influenced by various risk factors, including age, body mass index (BMI), long-term physical labor, pelvic incidence (PI), and facet joint osteoarthritis. This study aims to identify the significant risk factors associated with lumbar spondylolisthesis through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective analysis of 531 patients diagnosed with lumbar spondylolisthesis between September 2019 and September 2024 was conducted. Data were collected on age, BMI, PI, history of lumbar trauma, long-term physical labor, congenital pedicle dysplasia, osteoporosis, intervertebral disc degeneration, and facet joint osteoarthritis. Univariate logistic regression was used to screen for significant variables, followed by multivariate logistic regression to adjust for confounding factors. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to assess the sensitivity of significant factors.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Univariate analysis identified age, BMI, long-term physical labor, PI, and facet joint osteoarthritis as significant risk factors. Multivariate analysis confirmed that age (<em>P</em> = 0.035), BMI (<em>P</em> = 0.005), and facet joint osteoarthritis (<em>P</em> = 0.002) remained statistically significant. Interaction effect analysis did not reveal any significant interactions between variables. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis were key predictors of lumbar spondylolisthesis.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis (Grade III or above) were observed as potential risk factors for lumbar spondylolisthesis, with facet joint osteoarthritis showing the highest odds ratio. These findings indicate that degenerative changes in the spine, particularly those involving the facet joints, may contribute significantly to the development of lumbar instability, although further research is needed to establish causal relationships.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23906,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"World neurosurgery\",\"volume\":\"197 \",\"pages\":\"Article 123931\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"World neurosurgery\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1878875025002876\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"World neurosurgery","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1878875025002876","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysis of Risk Factors for Lumbar Spondylolisthesis: A Logistic Regression Study
Objective
Lumbar spondylolisthesis is the forward displacement of one vertebra over another, commonly occurring at the L4/5 or L5/S1 levels. The condition is influenced by various risk factors, including age, body mass index (BMI), long-term physical labor, pelvic incidence (PI), and facet joint osteoarthritis. This study aims to identify the significant risk factors associated with lumbar spondylolisthesis through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.
Methods
A retrospective analysis of 531 patients diagnosed with lumbar spondylolisthesis between September 2019 and September 2024 was conducted. Data were collected on age, BMI, PI, history of lumbar trauma, long-term physical labor, congenital pedicle dysplasia, osteoporosis, intervertebral disc degeneration, and facet joint osteoarthritis. Univariate logistic regression was used to screen for significant variables, followed by multivariate logistic regression to adjust for confounding factors. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to assess the sensitivity of significant factors.
Results
Univariate analysis identified age, BMI, long-term physical labor, PI, and facet joint osteoarthritis as significant risk factors. Multivariate analysis confirmed that age (P = 0.035), BMI (P = 0.005), and facet joint osteoarthritis (P = 0.002) remained statistically significant. Interaction effect analysis did not reveal any significant interactions between variables. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis were key predictors of lumbar spondylolisthesis.
Conclusions
Age, BMI, and facet joint osteoarthritis (Grade III or above) were observed as potential risk factors for lumbar spondylolisthesis, with facet joint osteoarthritis showing the highest odds ratio. These findings indicate that degenerative changes in the spine, particularly those involving the facet joints, may contribute significantly to the development of lumbar instability, although further research is needed to establish causal relationships.
期刊介绍:
World Neurosurgery has an open access mirror journal World Neurosurgery: X, sharing the same aims and scope, editorial team, submission system and rigorous peer review.
The journal''s mission is to:
-To provide a first-class international forum and a 2-way conduit for dialogue that is relevant to neurosurgeons and providers who care for neurosurgery patients. The categories of the exchanged information include clinical and basic science, as well as global information that provide social, political, educational, economic, cultural or societal insights and knowledge that are of significance and relevance to worldwide neurosurgery patient care.
-To act as a primary intellectual catalyst for the stimulation of creativity, the creation of new knowledge, and the enhancement of quality neurosurgical care worldwide.
-To provide a forum for communication that enriches the lives of all neurosurgeons and their colleagues; and, in so doing, enriches the lives of their patients.
Topics to be addressed in World Neurosurgery include: EDUCATION, ECONOMICS, RESEARCH, POLITICS, HISTORY, CULTURE, CLINICAL SCIENCE, LABORATORY SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, OPERATIVE TECHNIQUES, CLINICAL IMAGES, VIDEOS