党派之争在塑造太阳能地球工程观念方面胜过框架:来自联合实验的证据。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-24 DOI:10.1038/s44168-025-00236-3
Beatrice Magistro, Ramit Debnath, Paul O Wennberg, R Michael Alvarez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于太阳能地球工程(SG)的讨论正在不断发展,但公众对SG作为气候变化解决方案的看法仍未得到充分探讨,特别是在两极分化的美国政治格局中。我们研究了不同的SG叙事的相对重要性——框架为互补、替代或构成道德风险——以及党派信息来源在塑造公众态度方面的相对重要性。通过对2123名美国选民的联合实验,我们发现与信息源的党派一致性在塑造对信使的信任和对SG的支持方面起着决定性作用,掩盖了信息框架的任何影响。民主党人和共和党人都更有可能信任信使,并在信息来自合作来源时支持SG。然而,尽管有这些强烈的党派影响,政策偏好仍与意识形态基线保持一致。这些发现强调了党派关系在塑造对SG等新兴气候技术的看法方面的重要性,即使在公众意识较低的情况下也是如此,并强调了在气候变化解决方案方面消除公众话语两极分化的挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Partisanship overcomes framing in shaping solar geoengineering perceptions: Evidence from a conjoint experiment.

The discourse on solar geoengineering (SG) is evolving, yet public perceptions of SG as a climate change solution remain underexplored, especially in the polarized US political landscape. We examine the relative importance of different SG narratives-framed as complementary, substitutive, or posing a moral hazard-and partisan information sources in shaping public attitudes. Using a conjoint experiment with 2123 American voters, we find that partisan alignment with the information source plays a decisive role in shaping trust in the messenger and support for SG, overshadowing any impact of message framing. Both Democrats and Republicans are more likely to trust the messenger and support SG when the information comes from a copartisan source. However, despite these strong partisan influences, policy preferences remain consistent with ideological baselines. These findings highlight the importance of partisanship in shaping perceptions of emerging climate technologies such as SG, even in contexts of low public awareness, and underscore the challenges of depolarizing public discourse on climate change solutions.

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