巴西黄热病发病率和死亡率分析。

IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 VIROLOGY
Viruses-Basel Pub Date : 2025-03-19 DOI:10.3390/v17030443
Luisa Sousa Machado, Antonio Francisco Marinho Sobrinho, Andrielly Gomes De Jesus, Juarez Antônio Simões Quaresma, Helierson Gomes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

黄热病(YF)是一种由蚊子传播的病毒性出血热,其特点是由于肾脏和肝脏衰竭、大量凝血障碍和出血而导致高死亡率。由于没有特异性治疗,通过疫苗接种和病媒控制进行预防至关重要。本研究调查了2011年至2020年巴西YF的流行病学,重点关注其在该地区的趋势和分布。方法:本生态时序研究分析了2011年至2020年巴西27个联邦单位确诊的YF病例。数据来源于DATASUS、IBGE和IPEA。计算了每10万居民的发病率,并分析了各种社会人口和健康指标。Prais-Winsten自回归模型评估了趋势,而空间分析使用全球和当地Moran's I统计数据确定了风险区域。数据处理采用Stata和GeoDa®软件,版本1.12。结果:YF病例主要集中在亚马逊和大西洋森林生物群系。以男性(83.3%)、非白人(94.3%)和农民工为主。para的发病率呈上升趋势。较高的疫苗接种率与较低的YF发病率相关,尽管疫苗接种率较高的流行地区仍然表现出较高的发病率。健康和社会经济指标与发病率呈负相关,突出了区域发展的差异。结论:有效控制YF需要多学科战略,包括扩大疫苗接种覆盖率、加强媒介控制和积极监测。研究应侧重于开发更好的疫苗、监测免疫和改善全球应对协调。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Morbidity and Mortality Due to Yellow Fever in Brazil.

Introduction: Yellow fever (YF) is a viral hemorrhagic fever transmitted by mosquitoes, characterized by a high mortality due to kidney and liver failure, massive coagulation disorders, and hemorrhages. With no specific treatment, prevention through vaccination and vector control is essential. This study investigates the epidemiology of YF in Brazil from 2011 to 2020, focusing on its trends and distribution across the territory.

Methods: This ecological time-series study analyzed confirmed YF cases in Brazil's 27 federative units between 2011 and 2020. Data were sourced from DATASUS, IBGE, and IPEA. Incidence rates per 100,000 inhabitants were calculated, and various sociodemographic and health indicators were analyzed. Prais-Winsten autoregressive models assessed the trends, while a spatial analysis identified the risk areas using global and local Moran's I statistics. The data were processed using Stata and GeoDa® software, version 1.12.

Results: YF cases were concentrated in the Amazon and Atlantic Forest biomes. The majority of the cases occurred in males (83.3%), non-white individuals (94.3%), and rural workers. Pará showed an increasing trend in incidence. A higher vaccination coverage correlated with a lower YF incidence, though endemic areas with good vaccination coverage still exhibited high rates. Health and socioeconomic indicators were inversely related to incidence, highlighting disparities in regional development.

Conclusion: Effective YF control requires multidisciplinary strategies, including expanded vaccination coverage, intensified vector control, and active surveillance. Research should focus on developing better vaccines, monitoring immunity, and improving the global response coordination.

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来源期刊
Viruses-Basel
Viruses-Basel VIROLOGY-
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
12.80%
发文量
2445
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Viruses (ISSN 1999-4915) is an open access journal which provides an advanced forum for studies of viruses. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, communications, conference reports and short notes. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical results in as much detail as possible. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. The full experimental details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced. We also encourage the publication of timely reviews and commentaries on topics of interest to the virology community and feature highlights from the virology literature in the ''News and Views'' section. Electronic files or software regarding the full details of the calculation and experimental procedure, if unable to be published in a normal way, can be deposited as supplementary material.
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