价值的对称性

Noûs Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI:10.1111/nous.12549
Zachary Goodsell
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引用次数: 0

摘要

标准决策理论根据预期效用对风险前景进行排序。如果所有可能结果的值被均匀地移动或扩大,这个排名不会改变。类似地,如果结果的值为负值,那么预期效用对前景的排序就会颠倒过来。在效用水平无界的情况下,潜在客户的预期效用并不总是确定的,但人们仍然很自然地接受仿射对称原则,即潜在客户的真实排名不会因转移和扩张而改变,而会因否定而逆转——即使在预期效用未定义的困难情况下也是如此。本文研究了仿射对称原理及其结果。人们发现这些原则具有惊人的威力。结合正统的公理,他们为以前有问题的案例分配了精确的效用值:例如,帕萨迪纳的前景(Nover &;Hájek, 2004)和交替的圣彼得堡前景。它们还具有重要的结构性后果,特别是证明了Colyvan(2008)的相对期望理论。然后建立了仿射对称原理的一致性。鉴于他们卓有成效的结果,这个一致性结果支持采用仿射对称原理作为决策理论的基本公理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Symmetries of value
Standard decision theory ranks risky prospects by their expected utility. This ranking does not change if the values of all possible outcomes are uniformly shifted or dilated. Similarly, if the values of the outcomes are negated, the ranking of prospects by their expected utility is reversed. In settings with unbounded levels of utility, the expected utility of prospects is not always defined, but it is still natural to accept the affine symmetry principles, which say that the true ranking of prospects is unchanged by shifts and dilations, and is reversed by negation—even in hard cases where expected utilities are undefined. This paper investigates the affine symmetry principles and their consequences. The principles are found to be surprisingly powerful. Combined with orthodox axioms, they assign precise utility values to previously problematic cases: for example, to the Pasadena prospect (Nover & Hájek, 2004) and to the alternating St Petersburg prospect. They also have important structural consequences, notably vindicating Colyvan's (2008) Relative Expectation Theory. The paper then establishes the consistency of the affine symmetry principles. In light of their fruitful consequences, this consistency result supports the adoption of the affine symmetry principles as fundamental axioms of decision theory.
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