Evaluation of MRI anatomy in machine learning predictive models to assess hydrogel spacer benefit for prostate cancer patients

Introduction

Hydrogel spacers (HS) are designed to minimise the radiation doses to the rectum in prostate cancer radiation therapy (RT) by creating a physical gap between the rectum and the target treatment volume inclusive of the prostate and seminal vesicles (SV). This study aims to determine the feasibility of incorporating diagnostic MRI (dMRI) information in statistical machine learning (SML) models developed with planning CT (pCT) anatomy for dose and rectal toxicity prediction. The SML models aim to support HS insertion decision-making prior to RT planning procedures.

Methods

Regions of interest (ROIs) were retrospectively contoured on the pCT and registered dMRI scans for 20 patients. ROI Dice and Hausdorff distance (HD) comparison metrics were calculated. The ROI and patient clinical risk factors (CRFs) variables were inputted into three SML models and then pCT and dMRI-based dose and toxicity model performance compared through confusion matrices, AUC curves, accuracy performance metric results and observed patient outcomes.

Results

Average Dice values comparing dMRI and pCT ROIs were 0.81, 0.47 and 0.71 for the prostate, SV, and rectum respectively. Average Hausdorff distances were 2.15, 2.75 and 2.75 mm for the prostate, SV, and rectum respectively. The average accuracy metric across all models was 0.83 when using dMRI ROIs and 0.85 when using pCT ROIs.

Conclusion

Differences between pCT and dMRI anatomical ROI variables did not impact SML model performance in this study, demonstrating the feasibility of using dMRI images. Due to the limited sample size further training of the predictive models including dMRI anatomy is recommended.