Can Chen, Dingmo Chen, Yuxia Du, Daixi Jiang, Kexin Cao, Mengya Yang, Xiaoyue Wu, Mengsha Chen, Wenkai Zhou, Jiaxing Qi, Yue You, Rui Yan, Shigui Yang
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究使用2019年GBD的数据,调查了1990年至2019年流感相关下呼吸道感染(LRIs)死亡的全球趋势。采用年百分率变化(APC)和年平均百分率变化(AAPC)分析年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)。在全球范围内,2019年流感相关LRIs的ASDR为3.29/10万,非洲地区(6.57/10万)和70岁及以上成年人(29.88/10万)的ASDR更高。流感相关LRIs的ASDR从1990年到2019年显著下降(AAPC = -1.88%, P < 0.05)。然而,在2017-2019年期间,70岁及以上的成年人中APC显著增加(APC = 2.31%, P < 0.05),特别是在西太平洋地区和东南亚地区。全球70岁及以上成年人与5岁以下儿童的死亡率之比从1990年的1.63上升到2019年的5.34,其中西太平洋地区的增幅最大,从1990年的1.83飙升至2019年的12.98。尽管与流感相关的低呼吸道感染的全球ASDR有所下降,但它继续造成重大负担,特别是在非洲、西太平洋区域和老年人中。
Global patterns and trends in deaths of influenza-associated lower respiratory infections from 1990 to 2019.
This study examined global trends in influenza-associated lower respiratory infections (LRIs) deaths from 1990 to 2019 using data from the GBD 2019. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were used to analyze age-standardized death rates (ASDR). Globally, the ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs was 3.29/100,000 in 2019, which was higher in the African region (6.57/100,000) and among adults aged 70 years and older (29.88/100,000). The ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs decreased significantly from 1990 to 2019 (AAPC = -1.88%, P < 0.05). However, it was significantly increased among adults aged 70 years and older during 2017-2019 (APC = 2.31%, P < 0.05), especially in Western Pacific Region and South-East Asia Regions. The ratio of death rates between adults aged 70 years and older and children aged under 5 years increased globally from 1.63 in 1990 to 5.34 in 2019, and the Western Pacific Region experienced the most substantial increase, with the ratio soaring from 1.83 in 1990 to 12.98 in 2019. Despite a decline in the global ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs, it continues to impose a significant burden, particularly in the African, Western Pacific regions and among the elderly population.
期刊介绍:
Epidemiology & Infection publishes original reports and reviews on all aspects of infection in humans and animals. Particular emphasis is given to the epidemiology, prevention and control of infectious diseases. The scope covers the zoonoses, outbreaks, food hygiene, vaccine studies, statistics and the clinical, social and public-health aspects of infectious disease, as well as some tropical infections. It has become the key international periodical in which to find the latest reports on recently discovered infections and new technology. For those concerned with policy and planning for the control of infections, the papers on mathematical modelling of epidemics caused by historical, current and emergent infections are of particular value.