Mohammad Younus Bhat , Arfat Ahmad Sofi , Javeed Ahmad Ganie
{"title":"绿色车轮在运动:电动汽车销售在脱碳的道路上","authors":"Mohammad Younus Bhat , Arfat Ahmad Sofi , Javeed Ahmad Ganie","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2025.104704","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The transportation sector is the second-largest carbon emitter after the power sector; achieving decarbonization goals through electric and hybrid vehicles is crucial. This study explores the relationship between electric vehicle sales, economic growth, population, urbanization, and carbon emissions, framed within the Environmental Kuznets Curve and Ecological Modernization Theory. This study adopts the Method of Moments Quantile Regression techneque with fixed effects, analysing data from 15 nations between 2010 and 2023. The spatial analysis reveals notable growth in electric vehicle sales alongside substantial changes in energy consumption trends. Empirical findings indicate that carbon emissions adversely affect electric vehicle sales in the lower quantiles. However, its influence diminishes in upper quantiles as sales rise in these countries. Simultaneously, the expansion of the economy and the rise in renewable energy usage drive electric vehicle sales across all quantiles. These results highlight the need for policy intervention to promote renewable energy, investments, and public awareness to enhance sustainable transportation in these countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 104704"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Green wheels in motion: Electric vehicle sales in the path to decarbonization\",\"authors\":\"Mohammad Younus Bhat , Arfat Ahmad Sofi , Javeed Ahmad Ganie\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.trd.2025.104704\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The transportation sector is the second-largest carbon emitter after the power sector; achieving decarbonization goals through electric and hybrid vehicles is crucial. This study explores the relationship between electric vehicle sales, economic growth, population, urbanization, and carbon emissions, framed within the Environmental Kuznets Curve and Ecological Modernization Theory. This study adopts the Method of Moments Quantile Regression techneque with fixed effects, analysing data from 15 nations between 2010 and 2023. The spatial analysis reveals notable growth in electric vehicle sales alongside substantial changes in energy consumption trends. Empirical findings indicate that carbon emissions adversely affect electric vehicle sales in the lower quantiles. However, its influence diminishes in upper quantiles as sales rise in these countries. Simultaneously, the expansion of the economy and the rise in renewable energy usage drive electric vehicle sales across all quantiles. These results highlight the need for policy intervention to promote renewable energy, investments, and public awareness to enhance sustainable transportation in these countries.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23277,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"volume\":\"142 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104704\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920925001142\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920925001142","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Green wheels in motion: Electric vehicle sales in the path to decarbonization
The transportation sector is the second-largest carbon emitter after the power sector; achieving decarbonization goals through electric and hybrid vehicles is crucial. This study explores the relationship between electric vehicle sales, economic growth, population, urbanization, and carbon emissions, framed within the Environmental Kuznets Curve and Ecological Modernization Theory. This study adopts the Method of Moments Quantile Regression techneque with fixed effects, analysing data from 15 nations between 2010 and 2023. The spatial analysis reveals notable growth in electric vehicle sales alongside substantial changes in energy consumption trends. Empirical findings indicate that carbon emissions adversely affect electric vehicle sales in the lower quantiles. However, its influence diminishes in upper quantiles as sales rise in these countries. Simultaneously, the expansion of the economy and the rise in renewable energy usage drive electric vehicle sales across all quantiles. These results highlight the need for policy intervention to promote renewable energy, investments, and public awareness to enhance sustainable transportation in these countries.
期刊介绍:
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution.
We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.