{"title":"单纯复合体上考虑非线性发病率、出生和死亡的SIR流行病模型的建模与分析","authors":"Lixin Yang, Jia Li, Mengjiao Li, Yiqing Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130506","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To capture the intracommunity epidemic transmission process, this paper presents a SIR epidemic model incorporating nonlinear incidence rates alongside birth and death rates on the 2-order simplicial complexes. Firstly, the existence and stability of equilibrium points are analyzed. Meanwhile, we derive the basic reproduction number, two epidemic outbreak thresholds related to the bistability region, and the critical value for higher-order enhancement factor. Theoretical findings indicate that the system produces the bistable state. In addition, when the higher-order enhancement factor exceeds the critical value and the contagion coefficient exceeds two epidemic thresholds, the system exhibits discontinuous transitions. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis reveals that recovery rate and the pairwise transmission rate have a significant impact on the propagation threshold. Simulation results demonstrate that as the birth rate and higher-order enhancement factors increase, and as the natural and disease mortality rates decrease, the system transitions from a forward bifurcation to a backward bifurcation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20152,"journal":{"name":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","volume":"666 ","pages":"Article 130506"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Modeling and analysis of SIR epidemic model concerning nonlinear incidence rate, births and deaths on simplicial complexes\",\"authors\":\"Lixin Yang, Jia Li, Mengjiao Li, Yiqing Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130506\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>To capture the intracommunity epidemic transmission process, this paper presents a SIR epidemic model incorporating nonlinear incidence rates alongside birth and death rates on the 2-order simplicial complexes. Firstly, the existence and stability of equilibrium points are analyzed. Meanwhile, we derive the basic reproduction number, two epidemic outbreak thresholds related to the bistability region, and the critical value for higher-order enhancement factor. Theoretical findings indicate that the system produces the bistable state. In addition, when the higher-order enhancement factor exceeds the critical value and the contagion coefficient exceeds two epidemic thresholds, the system exhibits discontinuous transitions. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis reveals that recovery rate and the pairwise transmission rate have a significant impact on the propagation threshold. Simulation results demonstrate that as the birth rate and higher-order enhancement factors increase, and as the natural and disease mortality rates decrease, the system transitions from a forward bifurcation to a backward bifurcation.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20152,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"volume\":\"666 \",\"pages\":\"Article 130506\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"101\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712500158X\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"物理与天体物理\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","FirstCategoryId":"101","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712500158X","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Modeling and analysis of SIR epidemic model concerning nonlinear incidence rate, births and deaths on simplicial complexes
To capture the intracommunity epidemic transmission process, this paper presents a SIR epidemic model incorporating nonlinear incidence rates alongside birth and death rates on the 2-order simplicial complexes. Firstly, the existence and stability of equilibrium points are analyzed. Meanwhile, we derive the basic reproduction number, two epidemic outbreak thresholds related to the bistability region, and the critical value for higher-order enhancement factor. Theoretical findings indicate that the system produces the bistable state. In addition, when the higher-order enhancement factor exceeds the critical value and the contagion coefficient exceeds two epidemic thresholds, the system exhibits discontinuous transitions. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis reveals that recovery rate and the pairwise transmission rate have a significant impact on the propagation threshold. Simulation results demonstrate that as the birth rate and higher-order enhancement factors increase, and as the natural and disease mortality rates decrease, the system transitions from a forward bifurcation to a backward bifurcation.
期刊介绍:
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Recognized by the European Physical Society
Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications.
Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents.
Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.