探讨人工神经网络在儿童热感知预测中的优势及其应用前景

IF 6 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Xiaoyun He , Kerry A. Nice , Yuexing Tang , Long Shao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然已经开发了许多热舒适模型来预测不同天气条件下室外区域的人体热舒适水平,但这些指标通常是为成年人设计的。为了评估热舒适模型、通用热气候指数和基于预测平均投票因子的多元线性回归(MLR)模型在预测儿童户外热感觉投票(TSV)方面的适用性,在哈尔滨某公园进行了不同季节的实地调查。此外,研究人员还开发并验证了两种新的人工神经网络(ANN)模型,它们具有单隐藏层和双隐藏层,可以处理比传统模型更广泛的输入参数,包括服装水平和代谢率,以及更广泛的年龄、体重和身高。结果表明:1)人工神经网络模型优于传统模型;2)两隐层人工神经网络模型略优于单隐层模型;3)敏感性分析发现,对哈尔滨市儿童TSV预测影响最大的4个参数分别是平均辐射温度(0.259)、气温(0.200)、全球温度(0.161)和儿童代谢率(0.110)。这些发现将为优化城市公园热环境、减少儿童热应激和推进智能公园服务提供有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Exploring the advantages of artificial neural networks in predicting children's thermal perception and their potential application

Exploring the advantages of artificial neural networks in predicting children's thermal perception and their potential application
While numerous thermal comfort models have been developed to predict human thermal comfort levels in outdoor areas under varying weather conditions, these indexes are generally designed for adults. To assess the suitability of thermal comfort models, the Universal Thermal Climate Index and a multiple linear regression (MLR) model based on Predicted Mean Vote factors, to predict children's outdoor thermal sensation votes (TSV), field investigations were conducted in a Harbin park across multiple seasons. In addition, two new artificial neural network (ANN) models, with single and double hidden layers, were developed and validated to address a wider range of input parameters than the traditional models, clothing levels and metabolic rates, as well as accounting for a wider range of ages, body weights and heights. The results demonstrated that: 1) the ANN models outperformed the traditional models; 2) The two-hidden-layer ANN model slightly outperformed the one-hidden-layer model; 3) sensitivity analysis identified the top four parameters influencing the prediction of children's TSV in Harbin as mean radiant temperature (0.259), air temperature (0.200), globe temperature (0.161), and children's metabolic rate (0.110). These findings will offer valuable insights for optimizing thermal environments in urban parks, reducing children's thermal stress, and advancing intelligent park services.
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来源期刊
Urban Climate
Urban Climate Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
9.40%
发文量
286
期刊介绍: Urban Climate serves the scientific and decision making communities with the publication of research on theory, science and applications relevant to understanding urban climatic conditions and change in relation to their geography and to demographic, socioeconomic, institutional, technological and environmental dynamics and global change. Targeted towards both disciplinary and interdisciplinary audiences, this journal publishes original research papers, comprehensive review articles, book reviews, and short communications on topics including, but not limited to, the following: Urban meteorology and climate[...] Urban environmental pollution[...] Adaptation to global change[...] Urban economic and social issues[...] Research Approaches[...]
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