UCI临床试验:“超越p值”

Jose Correa Guerrero
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在统计学中的频率主义方法中,解释结果时的“p值”并不告知效应大小,它们仅基于5%的阈值来声明假设检验中的真实效应,同时不提供概率信息。这就是为什么在当前情况下考虑其他替代方法或统计方法是很重要的。贝叶斯推理或方法作为一种替代方法,通过能够直接估计显著临床获益的概率来解决上述局限性,并允许研究人员量化先验信息对最终结果解释的影响,以便为频率论框架中的显著性问题提供临时解决方案。作为一个总体目标,我们将回顾贝叶斯方法或试图解决这些局限性的推理,一些方面,如统计和数学公式超出了本综述的范围。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ensayos clínicos en UCI: «Más allá del valor p»
Of the frequentist methods in statistics, the “p-values” when interpreting the results do not inform about the effect size, they are based only on the 5% threshold to declare a real effect in the hypothesis test, and at the same time do not provide probabilistic information. That is why it is important to consider other alternatives or statistical methods in the current context. Bayesian inference or approach as this alternative method addresses the above limitations by having the ability to directly estimate the probability of a significant clinical benefit, and allowing researchers to quantify the influence of prior information on the interpretation of the final results, in order to provide temporary solutions to the problem of significance in the frequentist framework. As a general objective we will review the Bayesian approach or inference trying to address these limitations, some aspects such as statistical and mathematical formulas are beyond the scope of this review.
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