末次间冰期地表气温年际变化的夏季放大

IF 4 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL
Jiawen Shi , Zhiping Tian , Xianmei Lang , Dabang Jiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

温度变率是指温度在平均状态附近的波动,它与极端事件发生的概率密切相关。研究地球历史上过去温暖时期的温度变化对于阐明其未来趋势至关重要。利用PMIP4模型定量分析了末次间冰期(LIG, ~ 127 ka)近地表气温的年际变率变化及其相关机制。与工业化前相比,全球尺度上的气温年际变率略有增加。夏季变率在区域尺度上的变化更为剧烈,特别是在高纬度地区、东亚和北非,与冬季和年平均的微小变化相比,夏季变率增加了15%以上。在高纬度海洋中,由于海冰融化,辐射通量对温度变率变化的贡献尤为显著。东亚以及热带陆地和海洋的夏季温度变率增强主要由云层变化主导,而地表净热通量和大气能量辐合负储存(CONV)影响其他陆地区域。此外,冬季CONV在中高纬度地区的作用大于夏季。在低纬海域,温度变率变化的分布是由净表面热通量与CONV的相互补偿所决定的,尽管北亚、东亚、北非、北美和南美存在差异,但模拟的温度变率变化与代理数据基本一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Summer amplification of interannual variability changes in surface air temperature during the last interglacial period
Temperature variability refers to temperature fluctuations around the mean state, which closely connects with the probability of extreme events. Examining temperature variability during past warm periods in Earth's history is essential for elucidating its future trends. We quantitatively analyze the interannual variability changes in near-surface air temperature and associated mechanisms during the last interglacial period (LIG, ∼127 ka) using the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Phase 4 (PMIP4) models. Relative to the preindustrial period, the LIG interannual variability of temperature increases slightly at the global scale. Summertime variability varies more dramatically at the regional scale, especially in high latitudes, East Asia, and North Africa, where it increases by more than 15 % in comparison to small changes for the winter and annual mean. In high-latitude oceans, radiation fluxes notably contribute to temperature variability change due to sea ice melting. Cloudiness changes dominate enhanced summer temperature variability in East Asia and both tropical land and oceans, while net surface heat flux and atmospheric energy convergence minus storage (CONV) influence other land regions. Additionally, CONV plays a larger role in the mid-to-high latitudes during winter than during summer. In low-latitude oceans, the distribution of temperature variability change is shaped by the mutual compensation between net surface heat flux and CONV. Simulated temperature variability changes generally agree with proxy data, although discrepancies exist in North Asia, East Asia, North Africa, North America, and South America.
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来源期刊
Global and Planetary Change
Global and Planetary Change 地学天文-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
10.30%
发文量
226
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: The objective of the journal Global and Planetary Change is to provide a multi-disciplinary overview of the processes taking place in the Earth System and involved in planetary change over time. The journal focuses on records of the past and current state of the earth system, and future scenarios , and their link to global environmental change. Regional or process-oriented studies are welcome if they discuss global implications. Topics include, but are not limited to, changes in the dynamics and composition of the atmosphere, oceans and cryosphere, as well as climate change, sea level variation, observations/modelling of Earth processes from deep to (near-)surface and their coupling, global ecology, biogeography and the resilience/thresholds in ecosystems. Key criteria for the consideration of manuscripts are (a) the relevance for the global scientific community and/or (b) the wider implications for global scale problems, preferably combined with (c) having a significance beyond a single discipline. A clear focus on key processes associated with planetary scale change is strongly encouraged. Manuscripts can be submitted as either research contributions or as a review article. Every effort should be made towards the presentation of research outcomes in an understandable way for a broad readership.
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