风能和太阳能的技术经济评估:升级 LCOE 模型并增强地理粒度

IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Zheng Wang , Yuchu Huang , Keyin Zhou , Yuan Zeng , Xiang Tang , Bo Bai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风能和太阳能(W&;S)能源是中国能源转型的关键,然而计算平准化电力成本(LCOE)的传统模型未能充分考虑区域和时间变化。加强LCOE模型将提供更精确、更可靠的水资源经济成本评估,促进向更可持续的能源未来过渡。本研究回顾了现有的LCOE方法,确定了关键的局限性,并强调了高精度经济评估的必要性。结果表明,从自然、交通、社会、政策和经济五个地理角度对现有LCOE模型进行了改进。在此基础上,提出了一种基于时空粒度的先进中国LCOE模型,显著提高了W&;S项目经济评估的准确性,为可再生能源发展的经济成本评估提供了一种精细化的方法,为可再生能源发展的详细规划提供支持。本文强调了改进LCOE模型的必要性,未来的研究将集中在地理异质性、变异性影响以及动态定价和政策变化的影响上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Techno-economic assessment of wind and solar energy: Upgrading the LCOE model and enhancing geographical granularity
Wind and solar (W&S) energy are pivotal to China's energy transition, yet traditional models for calculating the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) inadequately account for regional and temporal variability. Enhancing the LCOE model will provide a more precise and reliable assessment of the economic costs of W&S resources, facilitating the transition to a more sustainable energy future. This study reviews existing LCOE methodologies, identifying critical limitations, and underscores the necessity for high-precision economic assessments. Results show that current LCOE models can be improved from five geographic perspectives, i.e. natural, transportation, social, policy and economic. Based on these factors, an advanced China-based LCOE model is proposed incorporating spatio-temporal granularity, significantly enhancing the accuracy of economic evaluations of W&S projects, offering a refined approach to assess economic costs and support detailed planning for renewable energy development. This paper highlights the need for refinement of LCOE models, with future research focusing on geographic heterogeneity, variability impacts, and the influence of dynamic pricing and policy variations.
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来源期刊
Energy Strategy Reviews
Energy Strategy Reviews Energy-Energy (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
4.90%
发文量
167
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs. Energy Strategy Reviews publishes: • Analyses • Methodologies • Case Studies • Reviews And by invitation: • Report Reviews • Viewpoints
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