通过减少频谱估计中的不确定性来改进精细尺度参数化

IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS
Shumin Jiang , Dejun Dai , Dingqi Wang , Jia Deng , Jia Sun , Ying Li , Jingsong Guo , Fangli Qiao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

细尺度参数化(FP)被广泛用于估算内波混合的大尺度分布,这对海洋环流模式的发展至关重要。在这项研究中,利用从微结构程序数据集中提取的水文和微结构测量数据来评估FP的性能。随着估计的内波能级的增加,总体上有高估的趋势。利用蒙特卡罗方法估计了规定谱下的湍流耗散率,以说明谱估计中的不确定性对偏差的影响。用常用的周期图谱法再现了FP下的高估趋势。用自回归(AR)谱估计器代替周期图方法,大大降低了高估的倾向。将FP与AR方法应用于采集的水文资料,在基底10对数坐标下,偏差的均方根误差从0.72减小到0.46,偏差方差从0.57减小到0.23,偏差与内波能级的相关性从0.62减小到0.32。将FP与AR谱估计器结合使用,有助于更准确地估计海洋内部的潜周期混合,并提高FP的鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improvement of finescale parameterization through reducing uncertainty in spectrum estimation
Finescale parameterization (FP) is employed widely to estimate the large-scale distribution of internal wave-induced mixing, which is crucially important for the development of ocean general circulation models. In this study, FP performance was evaluated using hydrographic and microstructure measurements extracted from the Microstructure Program dataset. A general tendency of overestimation with increase in the estimated internal wave energy level was observed. Using the Monte Carlo method, the turbulent dissipation rates under prescribed spectra were estimated to illustrate how uncertainty in spectrum estimation contributes to the bias. The overestimation tendency was replicated under the FP by the commonly used periodogram spectral method. By replacing the periodogram method with an autoregressive (AR) spectral estimator, the overestimation tendency was reduced considerably. Application of FP with the AR method to the collected hydrographic data greatly reduced the bias, with the root mean square error reducing from 0.72 to 0.46, the variance of the bias decreasing from 0.57 to 0.23, and the correlation of the bias with the internal wave energy level reducing from 0.62 to 0.32, in base-10 logarithmic coordinates. Application of FP with the AR spectrum estimator would help in estimating diapycnal mixing within the ocean interior more accurately and increase the robustness of FP.
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来源期刊
Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans
Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
5.90%
发文量
43
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans is an international journal for research related to the dynamical and physical processes governing atmospheres, oceans and climate. Authors are invited to submit articles, short contributions or scholarly reviews in the following areas: •Dynamic meteorology •Physical oceanography •Geophysical fluid dynamics •Climate variability and climate change •Atmosphere-ocean-biosphere-cryosphere interactions •Prediction and predictability •Scale interactions Papers of theoretical, computational, experimental and observational investigations are invited, particularly those that explore the fundamental nature - or bring together the interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary aspects - of dynamical and physical processes at all scales. Papers that explore air-sea interactions and the coupling between atmospheres, oceans, and other components of the climate system are particularly welcome.
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