财政调整下国际储备在主权债务重组中的作用

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Tiago Tavares
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引用次数: 0

摘要

高负债的发展中经济体通常也持有大量外汇储备。这种行为似乎令人费解,因为政府借款时要承受利率惩罚,以补偿贷款人的违约风险。虽然将外债减少到与国际储备相同的程度将减轻利息支付负担,但储备在违约危机期间可能具有额外的保险效益。此外,准备金还可用于提高贷款人违约时的回收率,从而减少非违约时期的利率惩罚。主权违约风险的标准模型,加上扭曲的税收政策和债务重组,可以定量地复制观察到的有关外债和外汇储备的数据模式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The role of international reserves in sovereign debt restructuring under fiscal adjustment
Highly indebted developing economies commonly also hold large external reserves. This behavior seems puzzling given that governments borrow with an interest rate penalty to compensate lenders for default risk. Although reducing external debt to the same extent as international reserves would reduce the interest payment burden, reserves can have additional insurance benefits during default crises. Moreover, reserves can also be used to improve lenders recovery rates upon default, thus decreasing the interest rate penalty in non-defaulting times. A standard model of sovereign default risk, augmented with distortionary tax policies and debt restructuring, can replicate quantitatively the observed data patterns on external debt and reserves holdings.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
10.50%
发文量
199
期刊介绍: The journal provides an outlet for publication of research concerning all theoretical and empirical aspects of economic dynamics and control as well as the development and use of computational methods in economics and finance. Contributions regarding computational methods may include, but are not restricted to, artificial intelligence, databases, decision support systems, genetic algorithms, modelling languages, neural networks, numerical algorithms for optimization, control and equilibria, parallel computing and qualitative reasoning.
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