Increased circulating apolipoprotein Cs are implicated in the association between elevated serum retinol and retinol-binding protein 4 and adverse progression of metabolic syndrome in adults: A prospective study

Prior research has highlighted the significant roles of circulating retinol, retinol-binding protein 4 (RBP4), and apolipoprotein C (ApoC) in metabolic health. This study investigates the joint association of retinol and RBP4 with metabolic syndrome (MetS) and examines the potential mediating role of ApoCs in these relationships. This prospective study included 3,009 and 2,724 participants with baseline serum retinol and RBP4 data, respectively. Over a 9-year follow-up among 2,621 participants, 1,136, 127, 696, and 662 were categorized into MetS-free, recovered, incident MetS, and persistent MetS groups, respectively. Midway through the study, ApoC1-4 levels were measured in 2316 participants. Adjusted odds ratios (95% CIs) for the highest (vs. lowest) tertile of retinol and RBP4 levels were 3.63 (2.69–4.92) and 5.64 (4.05–7.92) for 9-year persistent MetS, respectively. The corresponding hazard ratios (95% CIs) were 1.67 (1.39–2.01) and 1.67(1.38, 2.03) for incident MetS, and 0.65 (0.41–1.03) and 0.44 (0.28, 0.70) for recovered MetS (all P-trends<.05). A synergistic association of retinol and RBP4 with MetS risk was observed for persistent MetS. Higher levels of retinol or RBP4 were associated with increased concentrations of ApoC1-4, which were linked to a greater risk of incident and persistent MetS. A newly developed composite score (ApoCS), derived from ApoC1-4 levels, explained 30.5% and 24.5% of the association between retinol or RBP4 and MetS, with ApoC2 and ApoC3 contributing predominantly to this connection. Our study identified notable positive correlations between serum retinol and RBP4 levels and MetS progression, explained by increases in circulating ApoC2 and ApoC3 within a Chinese cohort.