猪场工人戊型肝炎疫苗接种策略的成本-效果分析

IF 3.5 2区 农林科学 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Fengge Wang, Lu Zhou, Yihan Lu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

戊型肝炎病毒(HEV)在中国流行,猪是最常见的宿主。它对养猪工人构成人畜共患公共卫生风险。本研究评估了中国这一高危人群接种戊型肝炎疫苗的成本-效果。利用决策树-马尔可夫模型,从社会角度对中国16-60岁的养猪工人进行了两种戊型肝炎疫苗接种策略的成本效益评估,与不接种疫苗相比,不进行筛查或进行筛查。我们计算了hev相关病例和避免的死亡,获得的质量调整生命年(QALYs),以及以人均GDP支付意愿(WTP)为阈值的增量成本-效果比(ICERs)。进行敏感性分析。此外,我们还模拟了完全接受3剂量计划、部分接受3剂量计划和完全接受2剂量计划的情景。与不接种相比,两种戊型肝炎疫苗接种策略都显著减少了戊型肝炎相关病例和死亡。未筛查和筛查后接种疫苗所避免的ICERs分别为11,428.16美元和9830.71美元/QALY,均低于人均GDP(2023年12,325.24美元)。此外,单向敏感性分析确定贴现率、在无症状病例中的效用和有症状感染的概率是影响ICER的关键因素。概率敏感性分析(PSA)显示,筛查后接种戊型肝炎疫苗的成本效益概率为47.5%,而未接种疫苗的成本效益概率为52.5%。值得注意的是,40岁以后筛查后的疫苗接种成本不高,价格为138.0美元/剂。此外,完全接受2剂和部分接受3剂计划是具有成本效益的,无论有无筛查策略的戊型肝炎疫苗接种,而完全接受3剂计划的疫苗接种没有筛查策略是成本无效的。筛查后接种戊型肝炎疫苗是中国养猪工人的最佳选择。在较早年龄开始接种疫苗和降低疫苗价格可以提高成本效益。此外,在戊型肝炎暴发期间,可建议采用两剂方案,以实现成本效益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hepatitis E Vaccination Strategies for Swine Workers

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hepatitis E Vaccination Strategies for Swine Workers

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is endemic in China, with swine as the most common reservoir. It poses a zoonotic public health risk to swine workers. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis E vaccination for this high-risk group in China. A decision tree-Markov model was utilized to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of two hepatitis E vaccination strategies, without or following screening, for swine workers aged 16–60 in China from societal perspectives, compared to no vaccination. We calculated HEV-related cases and deaths averted, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of GDP per capita. A sensitivity analysis was conducted. Additionally, we stimulated the scenarios of fully receiving 3-dose schedule, partially receiving 3-dose schedule, and fully receiving 2-dose schedule. Both hepatitis E vaccination strategies significantly reduced HEV-related cases and deaths compared to no vaccination. ICERs were estimated to be USD 11,428.16 and 9830.71/QALY averted for vaccination without and following screening, respectively, both lower than GDP per capita (USD 12,325.24, 2023). Furthermore, one-way sensitivity analysis identified the discount rate, utility in asymptomatic cases, and probability of symptomatic infection as crucial factors affecting ICER. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) showed a 47.5% cost-effectiveness probability for hepatitis E vaccination following screening, compared to 52.5% for no vaccination. Notably, vaccination following screening was cost-ineffective after age 40 and at a price of USD 138.0/dose. Additionally, fully receiving 2-dose and partially 3-dose schedules were cost-effective, regardless of hepatitis E vaccination without or following screening strategies, while fully receiving 3-dose schedule was cost-ineffective with the vaccination without screening strategy. Hepatitis E vaccination following screening would be optimal for swine workers in China. Vaccination starting at an earlier age and lower vaccine prices can improve the cost-effectiveness. Additionally, 2-dose schedule may be recommended during a hepatitis E outbreak to achieve cost-effectiveness.

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来源期刊
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 农林科学-传染病学
CiteScore
8.90
自引率
9.30%
发文量
350
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Transboundary and Emerging Diseases brings together in one place the latest research on infectious diseases considered to hold the greatest economic threat to animals and humans worldwide. The journal provides a venue for global research on their diagnosis, prevention and management, and for papers on public health, pathogenesis, epidemiology, statistical modeling, diagnostics, biosecurity issues, genomics, vaccine development and rapid communication of new outbreaks. Papers should include timely research approaches using state-of-the-art technologies. The editors encourage papers adopting a science-based approach on socio-economic and environmental factors influencing the management of the bio-security threat posed by these diseases, including risk analysis and disease spread modeling. Preference will be given to communications focusing on novel science-based approaches to controlling transboundary and emerging diseases. The following topics are generally considered out-of-scope, but decisions are made on a case-by-case basis (for example, studies on cryptic wildlife populations, and those on potential species extinctions): Pathogen discovery: a common pathogen newly recognised in a specific country, or a new pathogen or genetic sequence for which there is little context about — or insights regarding — its emergence or spread. Prevalence estimation surveys and risk factor studies based on survey (rather than longitudinal) methodology, except when such studies are unique. Surveys of knowledge, attitudes and practices are within scope. Diagnostic test development if not accompanied by robust sensitivity and specificity estimation from field studies. Studies focused only on laboratory methods in which relevance to disease emergence and spread is not obvious or can not be inferred (“pure research” type studies). Narrative literature reviews which do not generate new knowledge. Systematic and scoping reviews, and meta-analyses are within scope.
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