Dean T. Thomas , Sadeeka L. Jayasinghe , Chris Herrmann , Robert J. Harrison , Bonnie M. Flohr , Roger A. Lawes
{"title":"在低至中等降雨量的混合耕作地区,硬种子一年生豆科牧草期是一种有利可图且风险低的选择","authors":"Dean T. Thomas , Sadeeka L. Jayasinghe , Chris Herrmann , Robert J. Harrison , Bonnie M. Flohr , Roger A. Lawes","doi":"10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104302","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Diversified cropping rotations mitigate key challenges associated with continuous or mono-cropping, including soil fertility depletion, increased pest pressure, and reduced economic resilience due to limited diversification opportunities. However, an effective rotation sequence depends on a mix of agronomic and economic factors.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>This study aimed to assess the profitability and risk levels associated with rotations integrating non-traditional hard-seeded annual pasture legumes (NHL) in the mixed farming zone of southern Australia.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>Utilizing the Land Use Sequence Optimizer (LUSO), a study was conducted over a 30-year period (1991–2020) across three locations to compare the profit and conditional value at risk (CvaR) of rotations comparing two levels of biotic stress (high or low).</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><div>Rotations including NHL pasture were more profitable and exhibited lower risk compared to traditional improved annual pasture-legumes (TIL) or continuous cropping. These findings were consistent across various climate conditions. However, at one location (Condobolin), continuous cropping slightly outperformed the NHL rotation sequence in terms of both profit and lower risk. This was attributed to higher rainfall and temperature, where extended spring rainfall boosted canola and wheat yields. Despite greater fluctuations, overall moisture and warmth favoured continuous cropping. In contrast, at the other locations (Corrigin and Lameroo), NHL rotations were more profitable and less risky than continuous cropping.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>Rotations incorporating NHL pastures consistently showed resilience in locations prone to high biotic stress across all three sites. The inclusion of NHL pasture phases in mixed farming rotations improves profit and reduces risk, particularly in drier, variable regions, by withstanding dry periods and enhancing soil moisture. This is particularly beneficial in areas with variable rain-fed production, such as southern Australia's low- to medium rainfall regions. These findings highlight the ecological and economic advantages of incorporating NHL into rotations, contributing to contributing to more diversified and resilient farming systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":7730,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Systems","volume":"226 ","pages":"Article 104302"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Hard-seeded annual pasture legume phases are a profitable and low risk option in mixed farming regions with low to medium rainfall\",\"authors\":\"Dean T. Thomas , Sadeeka L. Jayasinghe , Chris Herrmann , Robert J. Harrison , Bonnie M. Flohr , Roger A. Lawes\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104302\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Diversified cropping rotations mitigate key challenges associated with continuous or mono-cropping, including soil fertility depletion, increased pest pressure, and reduced economic resilience due to limited diversification opportunities. However, an effective rotation sequence depends on a mix of agronomic and economic factors.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>This study aimed to assess the profitability and risk levels associated with rotations integrating non-traditional hard-seeded annual pasture legumes (NHL) in the mixed farming zone of southern Australia.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>Utilizing the Land Use Sequence Optimizer (LUSO), a study was conducted over a 30-year period (1991–2020) across three locations to compare the profit and conditional value at risk (CvaR) of rotations comparing two levels of biotic stress (high or low).</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><div>Rotations including NHL pasture were more profitable and exhibited lower risk compared to traditional improved annual pasture-legumes (TIL) or continuous cropping. These findings were consistent across various climate conditions. However, at one location (Condobolin), continuous cropping slightly outperformed the NHL rotation sequence in terms of both profit and lower risk. This was attributed to higher rainfall and temperature, where extended spring rainfall boosted canola and wheat yields. Despite greater fluctuations, overall moisture and warmth favoured continuous cropping. In contrast, at the other locations (Corrigin and Lameroo), NHL rotations were more profitable and less risky than continuous cropping.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>Rotations incorporating NHL pastures consistently showed resilience in locations prone to high biotic stress across all three sites. The inclusion of NHL pasture phases in mixed farming rotations improves profit and reduces risk, particularly in drier, variable regions, by withstanding dry periods and enhancing soil moisture. This is particularly beneficial in areas with variable rain-fed production, such as southern Australia's low- to medium rainfall regions. 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Hard-seeded annual pasture legume phases are a profitable and low risk option in mixed farming regions with low to medium rainfall
CONTEXT
Diversified cropping rotations mitigate key challenges associated with continuous or mono-cropping, including soil fertility depletion, increased pest pressure, and reduced economic resilience due to limited diversification opportunities. However, an effective rotation sequence depends on a mix of agronomic and economic factors.
OBJECTIVE
This study aimed to assess the profitability and risk levels associated with rotations integrating non-traditional hard-seeded annual pasture legumes (NHL) in the mixed farming zone of southern Australia.
METHODS
Utilizing the Land Use Sequence Optimizer (LUSO), a study was conducted over a 30-year period (1991–2020) across three locations to compare the profit and conditional value at risk (CvaR) of rotations comparing two levels of biotic stress (high or low).
RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS
Rotations including NHL pasture were more profitable and exhibited lower risk compared to traditional improved annual pasture-legumes (TIL) or continuous cropping. These findings were consistent across various climate conditions. However, at one location (Condobolin), continuous cropping slightly outperformed the NHL rotation sequence in terms of both profit and lower risk. This was attributed to higher rainfall and temperature, where extended spring rainfall boosted canola and wheat yields. Despite greater fluctuations, overall moisture and warmth favoured continuous cropping. In contrast, at the other locations (Corrigin and Lameroo), NHL rotations were more profitable and less risky than continuous cropping.
SIGNIFICANCE
Rotations incorporating NHL pastures consistently showed resilience in locations prone to high biotic stress across all three sites. The inclusion of NHL pasture phases in mixed farming rotations improves profit and reduces risk, particularly in drier, variable regions, by withstanding dry periods and enhancing soil moisture. This is particularly beneficial in areas with variable rain-fed production, such as southern Australia's low- to medium rainfall regions. These findings highlight the ecological and economic advantages of incorporating NHL into rotations, contributing to contributing to more diversified and resilient farming systems.
期刊介绍:
Agricultural Systems is an international journal that deals with interactions - among the components of agricultural systems, among hierarchical levels of agricultural systems, between agricultural and other land use systems, and between agricultural systems and their natural, social and economic environments.
The scope includes the development and application of systems analysis methodologies in the following areas:
Systems approaches in the sustainable intensification of agriculture; pathways for sustainable intensification; crop-livestock integration; farm-level resource allocation; quantification of benefits and trade-offs at farm to landscape levels; integrative, participatory and dynamic modelling approaches for qualitative and quantitative assessments of agricultural systems and decision making;
The interactions between agricultural and non-agricultural landscapes; the multiple services of agricultural systems; food security and the environment;
Global change and adaptation science; transformational adaptations as driven by changes in climate, policy, values and attitudes influencing the design of farming systems;
Development and application of farming systems design tools and methods for impact, scenario and case study analysis; managing the complexities of dynamic agricultural systems; innovation systems and multi stakeholder arrangements that support or promote change and (or) inform policy decisions.