用新的“全职等效”就业和失业率重新定义劳动力利用和未充分利用。

IF 1.6 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR
Journal for Labour Market Research Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-04 DOI:10.1186/s12651-025-00396-z
Donald Houston, Colin Lindsay
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2008年全球金融危机以来,与时间相关的就业不足(希望工作更长时间)已成为许多成熟经济体的一个根深蒂固的特征,尽管最近出现了短期的covid - 19后劳动力短缺。因此,就业和失业率日益成为衡量劳动力利用和未充分利用的不充分指标。本文根据英国每周37.5小时的工作时间和需要校准的工作时间,开发了新颖的“全职当量”(FTE)就业和失业率。全职劳动生产率表明,劳动力市场比传统措施所显示的更为疲软,妇女、年轻人、低技能工人以及地理和经济边缘地区的利用率较低和/或利用率不足的情况更严重。在英国本地劳动力市场中,全职员工就业率与收入和劳动力需求都显示出统计学上显著的相关性,而传统就业率却没有发现这种关系。本文认为,政策制定者使用FTE指标将指向,首先,在较弱的当地劳动力市场中,更多的需求侧劳动力市场政策,而不是严重依赖强制性的供给侧劳动力市场激活;其次,减少控制通胀所需的鹰派货币政策,这对经济较弱的地区造成不必要的伤害。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reconceptualising labour utilisation and underutilisation with new 'full-time equivalent' employment and unemployment rates.

Time-related underemployment (wanting to work more hours) has become an entrenched feature of a number of mature economies since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, recent short-run post-COVID labour shortages notwithstanding. Employment and unemployment rates are thus increasingly inadequate measures of labour utilisation and underutilisation. This paper develops novel 'Full-Time Equivalent' (FTE) employment and unemployment rates based on hours worked and hours wanted calibrated to a 37.5-h full-time week for the United Kingdom. FTE rates reveal greater labour market slack than evident in conventional measures, as well as lower utilisation and/or greater underutilisation among women, young people, low-skilled workers and in geographically and economically peripheral regions. The FTE employment rate shows statistically significant correlations with both earnings and labour demand across UK local labour markets, whereas the conventional employment rate fails to detect this relationship. The paper argues that the use of FTE metrics by policy makers would point towards, firstly, more demand-side labour market policies in weaker local labour markets rather than relying heavily on coercive supply-side labour market activation and, secondly, less hawkish monetary policy required to control inflation, which causes unnecessary harm to economically weaker regions.

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来源期刊
Journal for Labour Market Research
Journal for Labour Market Research INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR-
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
5.90%
发文量
17
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal for Labour Market Research is a journal in the interdisciplinary field of labour market research. As of 2016 the Journal publishes Open Access. The journal follows international research standards and strives for international visibility. With its empirical and multidisciplinary orientation, the journal publishes papers in English language concerning the labour market, employment, education / training and careers. Papers dealing with country-specific labour market aspects are suitable if they adopt an innovative approach and address a topic of interest to a wider international audience. The journal is distinct from most others in the field, as it provides a platform for contributions from a broad range of academic disciplines. The editors encourage replication studies, as well as studies based on international comparisons. Accordingly, authors are expected to make their empirical data available to readers who might wish to replicate a published work on request. Submitted papers, who have passed a prescreening process by the editors, are generally reviewed by two peer reviewers, who remain anonymous for the author. In addition to the regular issues, special issues covering selected topics are published at least once a year. As of April 2015 the Journal for Labour Market Research has a "No Revisions" option for submissions (see ‘Instructions for Authors’).
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