Zhixin Zhang, Zhen Qian, Min Chen, Rui Zhu, Fan Zhang, Teng Zhong, Jian Lin, Liang Ning, Wei Xie, Felix Creutzig, Wenjun Tang, Laibao Liu, Jiachuan Yang, Ye Pu, Wenjia Cai, Yingxia Pu, Deer Liu, Hui Yang, Hongjun Su, Mingyue Lu, Fei Li, Xufeng Cui, Zhiwei Xie, Tianyu Sheng, Kai Zhang, Paolo Santi, Lixin Tian, Guonian Lü, Jinyue Yan
{"title":"全球屋顶光伏发电或减缓全球变暖","authors":"Zhixin Zhang, Zhen Qian, Min Chen, Rui Zhu, Fan Zhang, Teng Zhong, Jian Lin, Liang Ning, Wei Xie, Felix Creutzig, Wenjun Tang, Laibao Liu, Jiachuan Yang, Ye Pu, Wenjia Cai, Yingxia Pu, Deer Liu, Hui Yang, Hongjun Su, Mingyue Lu, Fei Li, Xufeng Cui, Zhiwei Xie, Tianyu Sheng, Kai Zhang, Paolo Santi, Lixin Tian, Guonian Lü, Jinyue Yan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02276-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Rooftop photovoltaic (RPV) is often understood as a niche contribution to climate change mitigation. However, the global potential of RPVs to mitigate global warming is unknown. Here we map the global rooftop area at 1-km resolution, quantifying 286,393 km2 of rooftops worldwide through geospatial data mining and artificial intelligence techniques. Using nine advanced Earth system models from the coupled model intercomparison project phase 6, we reveal that RPVs could substantially contribute to reducing global temperatures by 0.05–0.13 °C before 2050. Region-specific analysis underscores the variability in RPV potential and the necessity of tailored approaches to optimize RPV deployment, considering local solar resources, existing infrastructure and grid carbon intensity. Our findings reveal that leveraging RPV systems offers a viable and impactful strategy for reducing carbon footprints and combating climate change globally, while advocating targeted interventions to enhance the benefits of RPVs, particularly in areas with high solar radiation or rapid urbanization. Rooftop photovoltaic systems are often seen as a niche solution for mitigation but could offer large-scale opportunities. 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Worldwide rooftop photovoltaic electricity generation may mitigate global warming
Rooftop photovoltaic (RPV) is often understood as a niche contribution to climate change mitigation. However, the global potential of RPVs to mitigate global warming is unknown. Here we map the global rooftop area at 1-km resolution, quantifying 286,393 km2 of rooftops worldwide through geospatial data mining and artificial intelligence techniques. Using nine advanced Earth system models from the coupled model intercomparison project phase 6, we reveal that RPVs could substantially contribute to reducing global temperatures by 0.05–0.13 °C before 2050. Region-specific analysis underscores the variability in RPV potential and the necessity of tailored approaches to optimize RPV deployment, considering local solar resources, existing infrastructure and grid carbon intensity. Our findings reveal that leveraging RPV systems offers a viable and impactful strategy for reducing carbon footprints and combating climate change globally, while advocating targeted interventions to enhance the benefits of RPVs, particularly in areas with high solar radiation or rapid urbanization. Rooftop photovoltaic systems are often seen as a niche solution for mitigation but could offer large-scale opportunities. Using multi-source geospatial data and artificial intelligence techniques, the authors map their potential for reducing global temperatures and analyse regional differences.
期刊介绍:
Nature Climate Change is dedicated to addressing the scientific challenge of understanding Earth's changing climate and its societal implications. As a monthly journal, it publishes significant and cutting-edge research on the nature, causes, and impacts of global climate change, as well as its implications for the economy, policy, and the world at large.
The journal publishes original research spanning the natural and social sciences, synthesizing interdisciplinary research to provide a comprehensive understanding of climate change. It upholds the high standards set by all Nature-branded journals, ensuring top-tier original research through a fair and rigorous review process, broad readership access, high standards of copy editing and production, rapid publication, and independence from academic societies and other vested interests.
Nature Climate Change serves as a platform for discussion among experts, publishing opinion, analysis, and review articles. It also features Research Highlights to highlight important developments in the field and original reporting from renowned science journalists in the form of feature articles.
Topics covered in the journal include adaptation, atmospheric science, ecology, economics, energy, impacts and vulnerability, mitigation, oceanography, policy, sociology, and sustainability, among others.