COVID-19对法定疾病的影响:一项时间序列研究。

Revista da Escola de Enfermagem da U S P Pub Date : 2025-02-17 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1590/1980-220X-REEUSP-2024-0098en
Pollyanna Kassia de Oliveira Borges, Camila Marinelli Martins, Caroliny Stocco, Jean Fernando Sandeski Zuber, Wesley Sousa Borges, Erildo Vicente Muller, Milene Zanoni da Silva, Carlos Eduardo Coradassi, Mariele Katherine Jungles, Eliseu Alves Waldman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:探讨新冠肺炎大流行对结核病、先天性梅毒、妊娠期梅毒和登革热的间接影响。方法:流行病学、生态学、时间序列研究。分析了2015-2021年期间,在帕拉纳的一个中型城市,并与帕拉纳州和巴西进行了比较。数据来自法定传染病信息系统(SINAN)。计算总发病率和标准化发病率/检出率。使用线性回归模型构建时间趋势。结果:2021年先天性梅毒(30%的病例,β = 4.47, 95% CI: 1.24 ~ 7.69)、妊娠期梅毒(41%的病例,β = 3.65, 95% CI: 1.08 ~ 6.21)和结核病(β = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.08 ~ 3.88)的发病率均有所增加。结核病(p = 0.022)和先天性梅毒(p = 0.034)的标准化平均发病率在大流行的前两年有所增加。结论:新冠肺炎间接影响了所研究城市结核病、先天性梅毒和妊娠期梅毒的控制。这一高比率与全国和州的趋势不一致,表明卫生监测应根据地方优先事项进行市级管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of COVID-19 on notifiable diseases: a time series study.

Objective: To assess the indirect impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis, congenital syphilis, gestational syphilis, and dengue.

Method: Epidemiological, ecological, time series study. The period from 2015-2021 was analyzed, in a medium-sized municipality in Paraná, and compared to the state of Paraná and Brazil. Data were extracted from the Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN). Gross and standardized incidence/detection rates were calculated. Temporal trends were constructed using linear regression models.

Results: There was an increase in the rates of congenital syphilis in 2021 (30% of cases, β = 4.47, 95% CI: 1.24-7.69), gestational syphilis during the pandemic (41% of cases, β = 3.65, 95% CI: 1.08-6.21), and tuberculosis (β = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.08-3.88). There was an increase in the standardized mean rate for tuberculosis (p = 0.022) and congenital syphilis (p = 0.034) in the first two pandemic years.

Conclusion: COVID-19 indirectly impacted the control of tuberculosis, congenital and gestational syphilis in the municipality studied. The high rates did not follow the national and state trend and indicate that health surveillance should be municipalized for local priorities.

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