Rudolph Santarromana, Ahmed Abdulla, M Granger Morgan, Joana Mendonça
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引用次数: 0
摘要
海上风能是能源系统去碳化的关键因素,但在某些地区的部署却进展缓慢,部分原因是来自不同利益集团的反对。如果不能充分解决外部利益相关者的担忧,可能会继续阻碍其部署。在此,我们使用一个多标准模型来评估美国大陆联邦水域所有潜在地点的 2 km × 2 km 网格中的所有可能地点,对比开发商和其他利益相关者的观点。我们的模型阐明了开发商和政策制定者如何更好地进行未来部署。首先,虽然开发商更倾向于大型电站,但我们发现这些设施更加脆弱--它们对位置敏感,其影响也比小型电站更加不确定。其次,在开发商和利益相关者的利益一致的地方,有 600 千兆瓦的发电能力--应该优先开发这些地方。第三,在美国西海岸,开发商和利益相关者偏好一致的地区很少,这表明有必要减少利益相关者与发电厂之间的互动,或将设施选址在比现有技术更深的水域。
Multicriteria models provide enhanced insight for siting US offshore wind.
Offshore wind can be a key contributor to energy system decarbonization, but its deployment in certain regions has been slow, partly due to opposition from disparate interests. Failure to sufficiently address the concerns of external stakeholders could continue to hamper deployment. Here, we use a multi criteria model to assess all possible sites in a 2 km × 2 km grid of all potential locations in continental US federal waters, contrasting the perspectives of developers and other stakeholders. Our model elucidates how developers and policymakers could better approach future deployment. First, while developers prefer larger plants, we find that these facilities are more fragile-they are sensitive to location, and their impacts are more uncertain than smaller plants. Second, there is 600 GW of capacity where both developer and stakeholder interests align-developing these locations should be prioritized. Third, there are few areas on the US West Coast where developer and stakeholder preferences align, suggesting a need to reduce stakeholder-plant interactions or locate facilities in deeper waters than current technology allows.