罗马尼亚有雹云和无雹云的雷达特征

IF 4.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Vasilică Istrate PhD , Serghei Eremeico Eng. , Lucian-Ionuț Lazăr Eng. , Dragoș Andrei Sîrbu Eng. , Eduard Popescu , Emil Sîrbu PhD , Doru Dorian Popescu Eng.
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过比较2017年至2022年期间罗马尼亚观测到的20次有播和20次无播严重冰雹的雷达参数,评估了碘化银(AgI)云播的有效性。利用最大反射率(Zmax)、垂直整合液体(VIL)、反射率大于35 dBZ的云层体积(dV35)和45dBZ高于环境融化水平的回波高度(dH45) 6个关键参数对S波段和c波段雷达数据进行了分析。使用Mann-Whitney U测试进行了统计比较,以确定两个风暴组之间的显着差异。结果显示,有籽风暴和无籽风暴的雷达指标在统计上存在显著差异,有籽风暴的参数值通常较低。例如,播种风暴的Zmax中值为58 dBZ,而非播种风暴的Zmax中值为60 dBZ, VIL中值分别为19 kg/m2和27 kg/m2。同样,在有种子的风暴中,dV35减少了大约22%。这些差异表明,播种改变了风暴微物理过程和动力学,可能抑制冰雹的形成。然而,风暴环境和雷达类别之间的变化突出了一些不确定性。对流过程的自然波动和跟踪播种剂扩散的挑战使结果的解释复杂化。尽管如此,观测到的差异的统计显著性支持AgI播种影响风暴特征的假设。这项研究提供了种子效应的定量和统计证据,并强调需要进一步研究使用先进的雷达技术和更大的数据集来改进降雹方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Radar characteristics of seeded and unseeded hail clouds in Romania

Radar characteristics of seeded and unseeded hail clouds in Romania
This study evaluates the effectiveness of silver iodide (AgI) cloud seeding in Romania by comparing radar-derived parameters of 20 seeded and 20 unseeded severe hailstorms observed between 2017 and 2022. Radar data from S and C-band systems were analyzed using six key parameters, including maximum reflectivity (Zmax), vertically integrated liquid (VIL), Volume of the cloud with reflectivity more than 35 dBZ (dV35) and height of the 45dBZ echo above the environmental melting level (dH45). Statistical comparisons were conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test to identify significant differences between the two storm groups. The results reveal statistically significant differences in radar metrics between seeded and unseeded storms, with seeded storms generally exhibiting lower parameter values. For instance, median Zmax was 58 dBZ for seeded storms compared to 60 dBZ for unseeded storms, while VIL medians were 19 kg/m2 and 27 kg/m2, respectively. Similarly, dV35 was reduced by approximately 22 % in seeded storms. These differences indicate that seeding modifies storm microphysical processes and dynamics, potentially suppressing hail formation. However, variability across storm environments and radar categories highlights some uncertainties. Natural fluctuations in convective processes and challenges in tracking seeding agent dispersion complicate the interpretation of results. Nonetheless, the statistical significance of observed differences supports the hypothesis that AgI seeding influences storm characteristics. This study provides quantitative and statistical evidence of seeding effect and underscores the need for further research using advanced radar technologies and larger datasets to refine hail suppression methodologies.
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来源期刊
Atmospheric Research
Atmospheric Research 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
10.90%
发文量
460
审稿时长
47 days
期刊介绍: The journal publishes scientific papers (research papers, review articles, letters and notes) dealing with the part of the atmosphere where meteorological events occur. Attention is given to all processes extending from the earth surface to the tropopause, but special emphasis continues to be devoted to the physics of clouds, mesoscale meteorology and air pollution, i.e. atmospheric aerosols; microphysical processes; cloud dynamics and thermodynamics; numerical simulation, climatology, climate change and weather modification.
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