He Li , Qianru Li , Yuanjie Zheng , Siyi He , Yi Teng , Mengdi Cao , Nuopei Tan , Jiachen Wang , Tianyi Li , Tingting Zuo , Ziming Gao , Kai Li , Wanqing Chen
{"title":"65岁及以上成年人全球癌症和亚型负担的概况和差异:1990-2021年发病率和死亡率的变化模式","authors":"He Li , Qianru Li , Yuanjie Zheng , Siyi He , Yi Teng , Mengdi Cao , Nuopei Tan , Jiachen Wang , Tianyi Li , Tingting Zuo , Ziming Gao , Kai Li , Wanqing Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.scib.2025.02.006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aimed to elucidate the global temporal and geographic characteristics of 29 cancers in older people aged ≥ 65 years, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to estimate temporal trends of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs). Globally, there was an increase of 8.52 million cancer cases and 3.16 million cancer deaths among older people from 1990 to 2021. The ASIR of cancers combined presented an annually increased trend (AAPC: 0.49%), and regions with high sociodemographic index (SDI) experienced the highest increase (AAPC: 0.94%). Over the same period, the ASMR of cancers combined annually decreased (AAPC: −0.40%) globally, whereas regions with low SDI (AAPC: 0.32%) and low-middle SDI (AAPC: 0.48%) exhibited significantly increased ASMRs. Prostate cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer were the three most common cancers for older people globally, and decreased relative inequalities were observed in higher-SDI countries from 1990 to 2021. For these three cancers, concentration index of ASMR respectively decreased from 0.26 to 0.06, from 0.20 to 0.17, and from 0.24 to 0.18. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of these cancers exhibited significant upward trends in lower-SDI regions. Our findings revealed that cancer burden for older people presented disparities globally, where higher-SDI countries faced a greater burden of cancer incidence and lower-SDI countries experienced an upward trend in cancer mortality. More attention should be given to prostate cancer, lung cancer, female breast cancer, and gastrointestinal cancers, especially in lower-SDI regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":421,"journal":{"name":"Science Bulletin","volume":"70 7","pages":"Pages 1139-1151"},"PeriodicalIF":18.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Profiles and disparities of the global cancer and subtypes burden among adults aged 65 years and older: changing patterns in incidence and mortality, 1990–2021\",\"authors\":\"He Li , Qianru Li , Yuanjie Zheng , Siyi He , Yi Teng , Mengdi Cao , Nuopei Tan , Jiachen Wang , Tianyi Li , Tingting Zuo , Ziming Gao , Kai Li , Wanqing Chen\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.scib.2025.02.006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This study aimed to elucidate the global temporal and geographic characteristics of 29 cancers in older people aged ≥ 65 years, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to estimate temporal trends of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs). Globally, there was an increase of 8.52 million cancer cases and 3.16 million cancer deaths among older people from 1990 to 2021. The ASIR of cancers combined presented an annually increased trend (AAPC: 0.49%), and regions with high sociodemographic index (SDI) experienced the highest increase (AAPC: 0.94%). Over the same period, the ASMR of cancers combined annually decreased (AAPC: −0.40%) globally, whereas regions with low SDI (AAPC: 0.32%) and low-middle SDI (AAPC: 0.48%) exhibited significantly increased ASMRs. Prostate cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer were the three most common cancers for older people globally, and decreased relative inequalities were observed in higher-SDI countries from 1990 to 2021. For these three cancers, concentration index of ASMR respectively decreased from 0.26 to 0.06, from 0.20 to 0.17, and from 0.24 to 0.18. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of these cancers exhibited significant upward trends in lower-SDI regions. Our findings revealed that cancer burden for older people presented disparities globally, where higher-SDI countries faced a greater burden of cancer incidence and lower-SDI countries experienced an upward trend in cancer mortality. More attention should be given to prostate cancer, lung cancer, female breast cancer, and gastrointestinal cancers, especially in lower-SDI regions.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":421,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Science Bulletin\",\"volume\":\"70 7\",\"pages\":\"Pages 1139-1151\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":18.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Science Bulletin\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"103\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095927325001653\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"综合性期刊\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Science Bulletin","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095927325001653","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Profiles and disparities of the global cancer and subtypes burden among adults aged 65 years and older: changing patterns in incidence and mortality, 1990–2021
This study aimed to elucidate the global temporal and geographic characteristics of 29 cancers in older people aged ≥ 65 years, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to estimate temporal trends of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs). Globally, there was an increase of 8.52 million cancer cases and 3.16 million cancer deaths among older people from 1990 to 2021. The ASIR of cancers combined presented an annually increased trend (AAPC: 0.49%), and regions with high sociodemographic index (SDI) experienced the highest increase (AAPC: 0.94%). Over the same period, the ASMR of cancers combined annually decreased (AAPC: −0.40%) globally, whereas regions with low SDI (AAPC: 0.32%) and low-middle SDI (AAPC: 0.48%) exhibited significantly increased ASMRs. Prostate cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer were the three most common cancers for older people globally, and decreased relative inequalities were observed in higher-SDI countries from 1990 to 2021. For these three cancers, concentration index of ASMR respectively decreased from 0.26 to 0.06, from 0.20 to 0.17, and from 0.24 to 0.18. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of these cancers exhibited significant upward trends in lower-SDI regions. Our findings revealed that cancer burden for older people presented disparities globally, where higher-SDI countries faced a greater burden of cancer incidence and lower-SDI countries experienced an upward trend in cancer mortality. More attention should be given to prostate cancer, lung cancer, female breast cancer, and gastrointestinal cancers, especially in lower-SDI regions.
期刊介绍:
Science Bulletin (Sci. Bull., formerly known as Chinese Science Bulletin) is a multidisciplinary academic journal supervised by the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and co-sponsored by the CAS and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC). Sci. Bull. is a semi-monthly international journal publishing high-caliber peer-reviewed research on a broad range of natural sciences and high-tech fields on the basis of its originality, scientific significance and whether it is of general interest. In addition, we are committed to serving the scientific community with immediate, authoritative news and valuable insights into upcoming trends around the globe.