65岁及以上成年人全球癌症和亚型负担的概况和差异:1990-2021年发病率和死亡率的变化模式

IF 18.8 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
He Li , Qianru Li , Yuanjie Zheng , Siyi He , Yi Teng , Mengdi Cao , Nuopei Tan , Jiachen Wang , Tianyi Li , Tingting Zuo , Ziming Gao , Kai Li , Wanqing Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在基于2021年全球疾病负担研究的数据,阐明29种年龄≥65岁老年人癌症的全球时间和地理特征。计算平均年百分比变化(AAPCs)来估计年龄标准化发病率(asir)和年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs)的时间趋势。从1990年到2021年,全球老年人癌症病例增加了852万例,癌症死亡人数增加了316万例。综合癌症的ASIR呈逐年上升趋势(AAPC: 0.49%),其中社会人口指数(SDI)高的地区上升幅度最大(AAPC: 0.94%)。在同一时期,全球癌症的ASMR总和每年下降(AAPC: - 0.40%),而低SDI (AAPC: 0.32%)和中低SDI (AAPC: 0.48%)地区的ASMR显著增加。前列腺癌、肺癌和结直肠癌是全球老年人最常见的三种癌症,从1990年到2021年,高sdi国家的相对不平等程度有所下降。三种肿瘤的ASMR浓度指数分别从0.26降至0.06、从0.20降至0.17、从0.24降至0.18。相比之下,这些癌症的ASIR和ASMR在低sdi地区表现出显著的上升趋势。我们的研究结果显示,老年人的癌症负担在全球范围内存在差异,高sdi国家面临更大的癌症发病率负担,而低sdi国家的癌症死亡率呈上升趋势。对于前列腺癌、肺癌、女性乳腺癌和胃肠道癌,尤其是低sdi地区,应给予更多的关注。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Profiles and disparities of the global cancer and subtypes burden among adults aged 65 years and older: changing patterns in incidence and mortality, 1990–2021

Profiles and disparities of the global cancer and subtypes burden among adults aged 65 years and older: changing patterns in incidence and mortality, 1990–2021
This study aimed to elucidate the global temporal and geographic characteristics of 29 cancers in older people aged ≥ 65 years, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to estimate temporal trends of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs). Globally, there was an increase of 8.52 million cancer cases and 3.16 million cancer deaths among older people from 1990 to 2021. The ASIR of cancers combined presented an annually increased trend (AAPC: 0.49%), and regions with high sociodemographic index (SDI) experienced the highest increase (AAPC: 0.94%). Over the same period, the ASMR of cancers combined annually decreased (AAPC: −0.40%) globally, whereas regions with low SDI (AAPC: 0.32%) and low-middle SDI (AAPC: 0.48%) exhibited significantly increased ASMRs. Prostate cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer were the three most common cancers for older people globally, and decreased relative inequalities were observed in higher-SDI countries from 1990 to 2021. For these three cancers, concentration index of ASMR respectively decreased from 0.26 to 0.06, from 0.20 to 0.17, and from 0.24 to 0.18. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of these cancers exhibited significant upward trends in lower-SDI regions. Our findings revealed that cancer burden for older people presented disparities globally, where higher-SDI countries faced a greater burden of cancer incidence and lower-SDI countries experienced an upward trend in cancer mortality. More attention should be given to prostate cancer, lung cancer, female breast cancer, and gastrointestinal cancers, especially in lower-SDI regions.
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来源期刊
Science Bulletin
Science Bulletin MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
24.60
自引率
2.10%
发文量
8092
期刊介绍: Science Bulletin (Sci. Bull., formerly known as Chinese Science Bulletin) is a multidisciplinary academic journal supervised by the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and co-sponsored by the CAS and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC). Sci. Bull. is a semi-monthly international journal publishing high-caliber peer-reviewed research on a broad range of natural sciences and high-tech fields on the basis of its originality, scientific significance and whether it is of general interest. In addition, we are committed to serving the scientific community with immediate, authoritative news and valuable insights into upcoming trends around the globe.
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