预测和解释评估中心判断:人际评估中心练习中绩效判断的交叉验证行为方法

IF 6 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT
Eric Grunenberg, Clemens Stachl, Simon M. Breil, Philipp Schäpers, Mitja D. Back
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管评估中心(AC)角色扮演评估在过去的研究中得到了充分的关注,但其对实际行为信息的依赖程度尚不清楚。然而,揭示交流角色扮演评估的行为基础是优化现有和开发新的自动化交流程序的先决条件。这项工作为AC性能判断的行为预测和解释提供了第一个数据驱动的基准。我们使用行为线索(C = 36)训练的机器学习模型来预测来自现实生活中高风险交流(选择医学生,N = 199)的三个人际交流练习中的表现判断。主要有三个发现:首先,行为预测模型表现出实质性的预测性能,并且优于代表潜在判断偏差的预测模型。与样本内结果的比较揭示了传统方法的过拟合,突出了样本外评估的重要性。其次,我们证明了行为线索的线性组合可以强有力地预测评估者的判断。第三,我们发现个体线索的一致的运动特定模式和行为维度和人际策略的跨运动一致的行为模式对评估者的判断具有特别的预测性。我们讨论了对未来研究和实践的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Predicting and Explaining Assessment Center Judgments: A Cross-Validated Behavioral Approach to Performance Judgments in Interpersonal Assessment Center Exercises

Predicting and Explaining Assessment Center Judgments: A Cross-Validated Behavioral Approach to Performance Judgments in Interpersonal Assessment Center Exercises

Although Assessment Center (AC) role-play assessments have received ample attention in past research, their reliance on actual behavioral information is still unclear. Uncovering the behavioral basis of AC role-play assessments is, however, a prerequisite for the optimization of existing and the development of novel automated AC procedures. This work provides a first data-driven benchmark for the behavioral prediction and explanation of AC performance judgments. We used machine learning models trained on behavioral cues (C = 36) to predict performance judgments in three interpersonal AC exercises from a real-life high-stakes AC (selection of medical students, N = 199). Three main findings emerged: First, behavioral prediction models showed substantial predictive performance and outperformed prediction models representing potential judgment biases. Comparisons with in-sample results revealed overfitting of traditional approaches, highlighting the importance of out-of-sample evaluations. Second, we demonstrate that linear combinations of behavioral cues can be strong predictors of assessors' judgments. Third, we identified consistent exercise-specific patterns of individual cues and cross-exercise consistent behavioral patterns of behavioral dimensions and interpersonal strategies that were especially predictive of the assessors' judgments. We discuss implications for future research and practice.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: Covering the broad spectrum of contemporary human resource management, this journal provides academics and practicing managers with the latest concepts, tools, and information for effective problem solving and decision making in this field. Broad in scope, it explores issues of societal, organizational, and individual relevance. Journal articles discuss new theories, new techniques, case studies, models, and research trends of particular significance to practicing HR managers
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