Jialu Yao , Jiangwei Sun , Fahim Ebrahimi , David Bergman , Peter H.R. Green , Hannes Hagström , Benjamin Lebwohl , Daniel A. Leffler , Jonas F. Ludvigsson
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Flexible parametric survival models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of any and specific CLD (i.e., viral hepatitis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease [MASLD], alcohol-related liver disease, and autoimmune liver disease) and MALO (compensated/decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, and liver-related death).</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>During a median follow-up of 16.0 years, 649 patients with CeD and 1571 reference individuals developed any CLD (incidence rate: 79.4 vs. 39.5/100,000 person-years). CeD patients had a higher risk of developing any CLD than reference individuals (aHR = 2.01, 95%CI:1.82−2.22). This risk remained elevated ≥25 years after diagnosis, giving one extra CLD case per 110 CeD patients until then. Positive associations were present for autoimmune liver disease (aHR = 4.86), MASLD (aHR = 2.54), and alcohol-related liver disease (aHR = 1.51). Individuals with CeD were at significantly higher risk of incident MALO (aHR = 1.54). Sibling comparisons and sensitivity analyses confirmed the main findings.</div></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><div>CeD is associated with a persistently increased risk of any incident CLD, although the absolute risk is low. Physicians should be vigilant to early signs of liver dysfunction in patients with CeD.</div></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><div><span>European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation</span>, the <span>Swedish Society for Medical Research</span> (project#: <span><span>PG-23-0315-H-02</span></span>), <span>FORTE</span> (project#: <span><span>2016-00424</span></span>), <span>Takeda</span>, and the <span>Swiss National Science Foundation</span> (project#: <span><span>P500PM_210866</span></span>).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":53223,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Regional Health-Europe","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 101201"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Long-term risk of chronic liver disease in patients with celiac disease: a nationwide population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study\",\"authors\":\"Jialu Yao , Jiangwei Sun , Fahim Ebrahimi , David Bergman , Peter H.R. Green , Hannes Hagström , Benjamin Lebwohl , Daniel A. Leffler , Jonas F. Ludvigsson\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101201\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Celiac disease (CeD) may be associated with elevated liver enzymes. However, little is known about the risk of chronic liver disease (CLD) of various etiologies or major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in CeD. We aimed to investigate the long-term risk of CLD in patients with CeD.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Swedish nationwide cohort study. We identified 48,027 patients with biopsy-confirmed CeD between 1969 and 2017. Each patient was exactly matched with ≤5 general population reference individuals (n = 231,909) and followed through 2021. Flexible parametric survival models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of any and specific CLD (i.e., viral hepatitis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease [MASLD], alcohol-related liver disease, and autoimmune liver disease) and MALO (compensated/decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, and liver-related death).</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>During a median follow-up of 16.0 years, 649 patients with CeD and 1571 reference individuals developed any CLD (incidence rate: 79.4 vs. 39.5/100,000 person-years). CeD patients had a higher risk of developing any CLD than reference individuals (aHR = 2.01, 95%CI:1.82−2.22). This risk remained elevated ≥25 years after diagnosis, giving one extra CLD case per 110 CeD patients until then. Positive associations were present for autoimmune liver disease (aHR = 4.86), MASLD (aHR = 2.54), and alcohol-related liver disease (aHR = 1.51). 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Long-term risk of chronic liver disease in patients with celiac disease: a nationwide population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study
Background
Celiac disease (CeD) may be associated with elevated liver enzymes. However, little is known about the risk of chronic liver disease (CLD) of various etiologies or major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in CeD. We aimed to investigate the long-term risk of CLD in patients with CeD.
Methods
Swedish nationwide cohort study. We identified 48,027 patients with biopsy-confirmed CeD between 1969 and 2017. Each patient was exactly matched with ≤5 general population reference individuals (n = 231,909) and followed through 2021. Flexible parametric survival models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of any and specific CLD (i.e., viral hepatitis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease [MASLD], alcohol-related liver disease, and autoimmune liver disease) and MALO (compensated/decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, and liver-related death).
Findings
During a median follow-up of 16.0 years, 649 patients with CeD and 1571 reference individuals developed any CLD (incidence rate: 79.4 vs. 39.5/100,000 person-years). CeD patients had a higher risk of developing any CLD than reference individuals (aHR = 2.01, 95%CI:1.82−2.22). This risk remained elevated ≥25 years after diagnosis, giving one extra CLD case per 110 CeD patients until then. Positive associations were present for autoimmune liver disease (aHR = 4.86), MASLD (aHR = 2.54), and alcohol-related liver disease (aHR = 1.51). Individuals with CeD were at significantly higher risk of incident MALO (aHR = 1.54). Sibling comparisons and sensitivity analyses confirmed the main findings.
Interpretation
CeD is associated with a persistently increased risk of any incident CLD, although the absolute risk is low. Physicians should be vigilant to early signs of liver dysfunction in patients with CeD.
Funding
European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation, the Swedish Society for Medical Research (project#: PG-23-0315-H-02), FORTE (project#: 2016-00424), Takeda, and the Swiss National Science Foundation (project#: P500PM_210866).
期刊介绍:
The Lancet Regional Health – Europe, a gold open access journal, is part of The Lancet's global effort to promote healthcare quality and accessibility worldwide. It focuses on advancing clinical practice and health policy in the European region to enhance health outcomes. The journal publishes high-quality original research advocating changes in clinical practice and health policy. It also includes reviews, commentaries, and opinion pieces on regional health topics, such as infection and disease prevention, healthy aging, and reducing health disparities.