Jun Hirouchi, Ikuo Kujiraoka, Shogo Takahara, Momo Takada, Thierry Schneider, Michiaki Kai
{"title":"使用残疾调整生命年(DALYs)、终生发病率风险和终生死亡风险对33个国家辐射相关癌症风险与基线癌症率进行比较。","authors":"Jun Hirouchi, Ikuo Kujiraoka, Shogo Takahara, Momo Takada, Thierry Schneider, Michiaki Kai","doi":"10.1088/1361-6498/adba6f","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A risk indicator that allows for the comparison of risks caused by different factors is highly useful for enhancing public understanding. The International Commission on Radiological Protection developed the concept of 'detriment' to quantify radiation-related health effects at low doses. However, the detriment is specific to the radiation field and cannot be simply compared with other risks. In this study, the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), lifetime incidence risk, and lifetime mortality risk due to radiation exposure were compared among 33 countries. These risk indicators were calculated for all solid cancers, colon cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, thyroid cancer, and leukaemia. The values of risk indicators for all solid cancers differed by a factor of 1.5-2.0 for male and 1.2-1.5 for female among countries, with higher values observed in countries with a higher socio-demographic index. The ratios of radiation risk indicators to the baseline indicators (R/B ratios) were 10%-15% for male and 15%-25% for female under chronic exposure to 20 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation from the age of 18 to 64 years, and 1.0%-1.5% for male and 1.5%-2.5% for female under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation over a lifetime. In particular, the R/B ratios under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation were smaller than the variation in the baseline risk indicators across countries. The impact of different countries and stages of disability weight of DALYs was small. Note that estimates of DALYs for less lethal thyroid cancers were subject to greater uncertainty. This study indicated that DALYs should be noted as an alternative indicator to the radiation detriments when discussing the tolerability of radiation and communicating with the society.</p>","PeriodicalId":50068,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Radiological Protection","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Comparison of radiation-related cancer risk against baseline cancer rates in 33 countries using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), lifetime incidence risk and lifetime mortality risks.\",\"authors\":\"Jun Hirouchi, Ikuo Kujiraoka, Shogo Takahara, Momo Takada, Thierry Schneider, Michiaki Kai\",\"doi\":\"10.1088/1361-6498/adba6f\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>A risk indicator that allows for the comparison of risks caused by different factors is highly useful for enhancing public understanding. The International Commission on Radiological Protection developed the concept of 'detriment' to quantify radiation-related health effects at low doses. However, the detriment is specific to the radiation field and cannot be simply compared with other risks. In this study, the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), lifetime incidence risk, and lifetime mortality risk due to radiation exposure were compared among 33 countries. These risk indicators were calculated for all solid cancers, colon cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, thyroid cancer, and leukaemia. The values of risk indicators for all solid cancers differed by a factor of 1.5-2.0 for male and 1.2-1.5 for female among countries, with higher values observed in countries with a higher socio-demographic index. The ratios of radiation risk indicators to the baseline indicators (R/B ratios) were 10%-15% for male and 15%-25% for female under chronic exposure to 20 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation from the age of 18 to 64 years, and 1.0%-1.5% for male and 1.5%-2.5% for female under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation over a lifetime. In particular, the R/B ratios under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr<sup>-1</sup>radiation were smaller than the variation in the baseline risk indicators across countries. The impact of different countries and stages of disability weight of DALYs was small. Note that estimates of DALYs for less lethal thyroid cancers were subject to greater uncertainty. This study indicated that DALYs should be noted as an alternative indicator to the radiation detriments when discussing the tolerability of radiation and communicating with the society.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50068,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Radiological Protection\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Radiological Protection\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6498/adba6f\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Radiological Protection","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6498/adba6f","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Comparison of radiation-related cancer risk against baseline cancer rates in 33 countries using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), lifetime incidence risk and lifetime mortality risks.
A risk indicator that allows for the comparison of risks caused by different factors is highly useful for enhancing public understanding. The International Commission on Radiological Protection developed the concept of 'detriment' to quantify radiation-related health effects at low doses. However, the detriment is specific to the radiation field and cannot be simply compared with other risks. In this study, the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), lifetime incidence risk, and lifetime mortality risk due to radiation exposure were compared among 33 countries. These risk indicators were calculated for all solid cancers, colon cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, thyroid cancer, and leukaemia. The values of risk indicators for all solid cancers differed by a factor of 1.5-2.0 for male and 1.2-1.5 for female among countries, with higher values observed in countries with a higher socio-demographic index. The ratios of radiation risk indicators to the baseline indicators (R/B ratios) were 10%-15% for male and 15%-25% for female under chronic exposure to 20 mSv yr-1radiation from the age of 18 to 64 years, and 1.0%-1.5% for male and 1.5%-2.5% for female under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr-1radiation over a lifetime. In particular, the R/B ratios under chronic exposure to 1 mSv yr-1radiation were smaller than the variation in the baseline risk indicators across countries. The impact of different countries and stages of disability weight of DALYs was small. Note that estimates of DALYs for less lethal thyroid cancers were subject to greater uncertainty. This study indicated that DALYs should be noted as an alternative indicator to the radiation detriments when discussing the tolerability of radiation and communicating with the society.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Radiological Protection publishes articles on all aspects of radiological protection, including non-ionising as well as ionising radiations. Fields of interest range from research, development and theory to operational matters, education and training. The very wide spectrum of its topics includes: dosimetry, instrument development, specialized measuring techniques, epidemiology, biological effects (in vivo and in vitro) and risk and environmental impact assessments.
The journal encourages publication of data and code as well as results.