Cristiana Palmela Pereira, Patrícia Antunes, Ana Rodrigues, Francisco Salvado, Rui Santos
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For the bone assessment the accuracy is highest at 14 and 18 years, with similar values to those at 12 and 16. The AUC shows that the method is more reliable at 12 and 14 years. For the dental age assessment, a lower sensitivity value was observed for the age of 12 (73.91%) and a higher for 18 years (91.03%), increasing with age. The accuracy was higher at 12 years (89.62%) and lowest at 18 years (83.02%). Specificity values were higher for ages 12 and 14 (93.98% and 95.24%, respectively). The lowest AUC value was recorded for 18 years (0.889), while for ages 12, 14, and 16, the values were similar, indicating lower reliability for the legal age of 18.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>For individuals under 12, 14, 16, and 18 years old, the bone method is the most effective. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
年龄估计是至关重要的,在牙科和法律环境,以确定未成年人的刑事责任。本研究旨在使用Greulich-Pyle方法和Moorrees Fanning and Hunt方法对葡萄牙人群的骨骼和牙齿年龄进行估计和分类,并比较两种方法的准确性。材料与方法:选择597张左手和手腕x线片,184张正骨层位片,应用方法。结果:Cohen加权kappa系数范围为0.890 ~ 1。这两种方法都低估了年龄。线性回归公式显示,估计年龄与实际年龄之间存在较强的相关性(骨年龄评估为0.902,牙年龄评估为0.894)。对于骨骼评估,14岁和18岁的准确率最高,与12岁和16岁的准确率相似。AUC表明,该方法在12年和14年更可靠。牙龄评估中,12岁敏感性值较低(73.91%),18岁敏感性值较高(91.03%),且随年龄增长敏感性值升高。准确率最高的是12岁(89.62%),最低的是18岁(83.02%)。特异性值在12岁和14岁较高(分别为93.98%和95.24%)。最低AUC值为18岁(0.889),而12岁、14岁和16岁的AUC值相似,说明法定年龄为18岁的可靠性较低。结论:对于12岁、14岁、16岁、18岁以下的青少年,骨法是最有效的。然而,结合这两种方法可以提高医学法律应用中年龄估计的准确性和一致性。
Bone age and dental age to assess criminal responsibility: Part II.
Introduction: Age estimation is vital in dentistry and legal contexts to determine minors' criminal responsibility. This study aimed to estimate and classify bone and dental age in a Portuguese population, using the Greulich-Pyle method and the Moorrees Fanning and Hunt method, comparing the accuracy of both methods.
Materials and methods: 597 left hand and wrist radiographs and 184 orthopantomographs were selected, and the methods were applied.
Results: Cohen's weighted kappa coefficient ranged between 0.890 and 1. Both methods underestimate age. The linear regression formulas showed strong correlations between estimated and real age (0.902 for bone age assessment and 0.894 for dental age assessment). For the bone assessment the accuracy is highest at 14 and 18 years, with similar values to those at 12 and 16. The AUC shows that the method is more reliable at 12 and 14 years. For the dental age assessment, a lower sensitivity value was observed for the age of 12 (73.91%) and a higher for 18 years (91.03%), increasing with age. The accuracy was higher at 12 years (89.62%) and lowest at 18 years (83.02%). Specificity values were higher for ages 12 and 14 (93.98% and 95.24%, respectively). The lowest AUC value was recorded for 18 years (0.889), while for ages 12, 14, and 16, the values were similar, indicating lower reliability for the legal age of 18.
Conclusion: For individuals under 12, 14, 16, and 18 years old, the bone method is the most effective. However, combining both methods allows greater accuracy and consistency in age estimation for medico-legal applications.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Legal Medicine aims to improve the scientific resources used in the elucidation of crime and related forensic applications at a high level of evidential proof. The journal offers review articles tracing development in specific areas, with up-to-date analysis; original articles discussing significant recent research results; case reports describing interesting and exceptional examples; population data; letters to the editors; and technical notes, which appear in a section originally created for rapid publication of data in the dynamic field of DNA analysis.