{"title":"体育活动与动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病之间的关系被预测心血管风险修正：China-PAR项目","authors":"Tao Zhou, Chenxi Yuan, Chong Shen, Shufeng Chen, Jianxin Li, Keyong Huang, Xueli Yang, Xiaoqing Liu, Jie Cao, Ling Yu, Yingxin Zhao, Xianping Wu, Liancheng Zhao, Ying Li, Dongsheng Hu, Jianfeng Huang, Dongfeng Gu, Xiangfeng Lu, Fangchao Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jshs.2025.101031","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>It remains unclear whether the cardiovascular benefits of physical activity (PA) vary across populations with different predicted atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risks. This study aimed to determine the modification of predicted cardiovascular risk on the association between PA and ASCVD incidence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 94,734 participants without ASCVD in the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project were included, with a median follow-up of 6.0 years. PA volume (metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/day) and intensity (%, percentage of moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA)) were assessed by questionnaires. Based on the ASCVD 10-year and lifetime risk prediction scores, participants were classified into low-to-medium-risk and high-risk groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for ASCVD were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During 679,438 person-years of follow-up, 3470 ASCVD events occurred. Higher PA volume was associated with lower ASCVD incidence, which was more pronounced among high-predicted-risk individuals than their low-to-medium-risk counterparts, with HRs (95%CIs) of 0.58 (0.50-0.67) and 0.62 (0.53-0.71) for the highest vs. lowest quartiles of PA volume, respectively. Additionally, analyses for PA intensity showed similar results. Compared with inactive individuals, there was a 32% (95%CI: 25%-38%) and 23% (95%CI: 13%-32%) risk reduction in high- and low-to-medium-risk groups, respectively, when over half of the PA volume was from MVPA. Furthermore, the additive interactions between PA and predicted risk indicated a further risk reduction by increasing PA, especially MVPA, in high-risk individuals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Engaging in more PA, especially MVPA, reduced the risk of ASCVD incidence, with greater benefits among high-risk individuals. These findings emphasize the imperative for personalized PA recommendations tailored to distinct risk populations-in particular, reinforcing PA guidance for high-risk individuals.</p>","PeriodicalId":48897,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Sport and Health Science","volume":" ","pages":"101031"},"PeriodicalIF":9.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Association between physical activity and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is modified by predicted cardiovascular risk: The China-PAR project.\",\"authors\":\"Tao Zhou, Chenxi Yuan, Chong Shen, Shufeng Chen, Jianxin Li, Keyong Huang, Xueli Yang, Xiaoqing Liu, Jie Cao, Ling Yu, Yingxin Zhao, Xianping Wu, Liancheng Zhao, Ying Li, Dongsheng Hu, Jianfeng Huang, Dongfeng Gu, Xiangfeng Lu, Fangchao Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jshs.2025.101031\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>It remains unclear whether the cardiovascular benefits of physical activity (PA) vary across populations with different predicted atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risks. This study aimed to determine the modification of predicted cardiovascular risk on the association between PA and ASCVD incidence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 94,734 participants without ASCVD in the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project were included, with a median follow-up of 6.0 years. PA volume (metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/day) and intensity (%, percentage of moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA)) were assessed by questionnaires. Based on the ASCVD 10-year and lifetime risk prediction scores, participants were classified into low-to-medium-risk and high-risk groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for ASCVD were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During 679,438 person-years of follow-up, 3470 ASCVD events occurred. Higher PA volume was associated with lower ASCVD incidence, which was more pronounced among high-predicted-risk individuals than their low-to-medium-risk counterparts, with HRs (95%CIs) of 0.58 (0.50-0.67) and 0.62 (0.53-0.71) for the highest vs. lowest quartiles of PA volume, respectively. Additionally, analyses for PA intensity showed similar results. Compared with inactive individuals, there was a 32% (95%CI: 25%-38%) and 23% (95%CI: 13%-32%) risk reduction in high- and low-to-medium-risk groups, respectively, when over half of the PA volume was from MVPA. Furthermore, the additive interactions between PA and predicted risk indicated a further risk reduction by increasing PA, especially MVPA, in high-risk individuals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Engaging in more PA, especially MVPA, reduced the risk of ASCVD incidence, with greater benefits among high-risk individuals. These findings emphasize the imperative for personalized PA recommendations tailored to distinct risk populations-in particular, reinforcing PA guidance for high-risk individuals.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48897,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Sport and Health Science\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"101031\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-02-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Sport and Health Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jshs.2025.101031\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Sport and Health Science","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jshs.2025.101031","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
Association between physical activity and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is modified by predicted cardiovascular risk: The China-PAR project.
Background: It remains unclear whether the cardiovascular benefits of physical activity (PA) vary across populations with different predicted atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risks. This study aimed to determine the modification of predicted cardiovascular risk on the association between PA and ASCVD incidence.
Methods: A total of 94,734 participants without ASCVD in the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project were included, with a median follow-up of 6.0 years. PA volume (metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/day) and intensity (%, percentage of moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA)) were assessed by questionnaires. Based on the ASCVD 10-year and lifetime risk prediction scores, participants were classified into low-to-medium-risk and high-risk groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for ASCVD were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models.
Results: During 679,438 person-years of follow-up, 3470 ASCVD events occurred. Higher PA volume was associated with lower ASCVD incidence, which was more pronounced among high-predicted-risk individuals than their low-to-medium-risk counterparts, with HRs (95%CIs) of 0.58 (0.50-0.67) and 0.62 (0.53-0.71) for the highest vs. lowest quartiles of PA volume, respectively. Additionally, analyses for PA intensity showed similar results. Compared with inactive individuals, there was a 32% (95%CI: 25%-38%) and 23% (95%CI: 13%-32%) risk reduction in high- and low-to-medium-risk groups, respectively, when over half of the PA volume was from MVPA. Furthermore, the additive interactions between PA and predicted risk indicated a further risk reduction by increasing PA, especially MVPA, in high-risk individuals.
Conclusion: Engaging in more PA, especially MVPA, reduced the risk of ASCVD incidence, with greater benefits among high-risk individuals. These findings emphasize the imperative for personalized PA recommendations tailored to distinct risk populations-in particular, reinforcing PA guidance for high-risk individuals.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Sport and Health Science (JSHS) is an international, multidisciplinary journal that aims to advance the fields of sport, exercise, physical activity, and health sciences. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Shanghai University of Sport, JSHS is dedicated to promoting original and impactful research, as well as topical reviews, editorials, opinions, and commentary papers.
With a focus on physical and mental health, injury and disease prevention, traditional Chinese exercise, and human performance, JSHS offers a platform for scholars and researchers to share their findings and contribute to the advancement of these fields. Our journal is peer-reviewed, ensuring that all published works meet the highest academic standards.
Supported by a carefully selected international editorial board, JSHS upholds impeccable integrity and provides an efficient publication platform. We invite submissions from scholars and researchers worldwide, and we are committed to disseminating insightful and influential research in the field of sport and health science.
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