为什么会陷入僵局?关于大坝的争论和不同的观点

Lucy Goodman
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摘要

我们应该建造更多的大型水坝吗?这一直是文章、一个多方利益相关者世界委员会、政府调查和抗议运动的主题。然而,在这一主题的文献中,未解决的分歧持续了50年。最近,利用水电缓解气候变化的呼吁引起了人们的关注。然而,关注能源转型并没有解决围绕大型水坝的矛盾叙述中更根本的问题。我通过使用Q方法调查其主观性来描述当前的辩论。在Q方法中,参与者对辩论中有争议的观点进行排名,研究人员使用这些排名的分数来检索一般的观点概况。27名参与者对37份关于大坝的声明进行了排序,结果是三种观点(“大坝破坏者”、“大坝必须主义者”和“大坝依赖者”)和他们的争论点。分歧的问题是经济效益、气候变化和可再生能源、减轻影响的工程解决方案以及文化问题。在减缓气候变化的必要性和经济效益方面,“大坝破坏者”和“大坝必须者”在意识形态和政治上存在最深刻的分歧。思想和政治价值观极大地塑造了人们的观点,导致了更棘手的辩论。最后,我反对将辩论简化为“邻避”(Not-In - my backyard)和“别无选择”(There-Is-No-Alternative)。相反,我建议,如果我们承认分歧是主观的和意识形态的,如果分歧的所在是透明的,辩论就会向前推进。由于个人的意识形态很少改变,我认为客观的方法无法解决争论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why the impasse? The large dams debate and divergent perspectives
Should we build more large dams? This has been the subject of articles, one multi-stakeholder world commission, government inquiries and protest movements. Nevertheless, unresolved disagreements have persisted for 50 years within the literature on this topic. More recently, the call for hydropower for climate change mitigation has concentrated attention. However, focusing on the energy transition has not resolved more fundamental questions within the contradictory narratives around large dams. I describe the current debate by investigating its subjectivities using Q methodology. In Q methodology, participants rank controversial notions from the debate, and the researcher uses these rankings' scores to retrieve generic opinion profiles. Twenty-seven participants ranked thirty-seven statements on large dams, the result is three opinion profiles ("Dam Busters", "Dam Necessarists" and "It-Dependers") and their points of contention. Divisive issues are the economic benefits, climate change and renewable energy, engineering solutions for impact mitigation, and cultural issues. The most profound division was between the ideology and politics of the Dam Busters and Dam Necessarists regarding the necessity of dams for mitigating climate change, and the economic benefits. Ideas and political values significantly shaped people's viewpoints, leading to a more intractable debate. I conclude by arguing against simplifying the debate into Not-In -My-BackYard (“NIMBY”) and There-Is-No-Alternative (“TINA”). Instead, I suggest the debate will move forward if we acknowledge that the divisions are subjective and ideological and if there is transparency around where disagreements lie. As an individual's ideology rarely changes, I propose that objective approaches will not resolve the debate.
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