能源、电力和加密货币市场的分位数回报、波动性溢出和驱动因素

IF 14.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Dongming Jiang , Fang Jia , Xiaoyu Han
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去十年中,加密货币市场经历了显着增长。然而,在不同分位数条件下,各种类型的加密货币与电力市场以及能源市场之间的风险溢出动态仍然不明确。为了解决这一差距,本文利用分位数向量自回归(QVAR)模型来研究能源(化石能源和清洁能源)、电力市场和加密货币(清洁和肮脏的加密货币)市场在不同分位数条件下的回报和波动性溢出。此外,本文还研究了这些市场之间溢出效应的决定因素。研究结果表明,在条件平均和中位数条件下,这些市场之间存在适度的溢出效应,而在极端分位数条件下,这种效应会加剧。此外,石油、清洁的加密货币、风能和地热能通常是溢出效应的接受者,而天然气、肮脏的加密货币、生物能源、太阳能和燃料电池通常是溢出效应的传播者。电力市场在平均和中位数条件下充当接受者,但在极端条件下充当发射器。此外,EPU、CFGI、TERM和COVID-19显著增强了三个市场之间的溢出效应。这些见解为投资者和政策制定者提供了有价值的启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Quantile return and volatility spillovers and drivers among energy, electricity, and cryptocurrency markets
Over the past decade, the cryptocurrency market has experienced significant growth. However, the dynamics of risk spillover between various types of cryptocurrencies and the electricity market, as well as energy markets, under different quantile conditions remain ambiguous. To address this gap, this paper utilizes the Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) model to examine the returns and volatility spillovers among energy (fossil and clean energy), the electricity market, and cryptocurrencies (clean and dirty cryptocurrency) markets across varying quantile conditions. Additionally, this paper investigates the determinants of spillover effects among these markets. The findings reveal that moderate spillover effects exist among these markets under conditional mean and median quantiles, while such effects are intensified in extreme quantile conditions. Moreover, oil, clean cryptocurrency, wind energy, and geothermal energy typically act as recipients of spillover effects, whereas natural gas, dirty cryptocurrency, bioenergy, solar energy, and, fuel cells generally function as transmitters of spillover effects. The electricity market serves as a recipient under mean and median quantile conditions but acts as a transmitter under extreme conditions. Furthermore, EPU, CFGI, TERM, and COVID-19 significantly enhance spillover effects among these three markets. These insights offer valuable implications for investors and policymakers.
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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