Lisa T. Haber , Ben Bond-Lamberty , David Chan , Kalyn Dorheim , Jaclyn Hatala Matthes , Christopher Gough
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Simulating biotic disturbance responses in forests requires a balance of model performance, complexity, and accessibility
Biotic disturbances, i.e. ecosystem perturbations driven by insects and pathogens, are distinct from abiotic events in their duration, severity, and variable effects on carbon (C) pools and fluxes. Because of these factors and their interactions with climate, biotic disturbances present a substantial challenge to ecosystem modelers attempting to balance model complexity, accessibility, and realism. Here we share our recent experience with model-data fusion experiments as part of the Forest Resilience Threshold Experiment (FoRTE), using both a very simple and a highly complex model to simulate ecologically complex biotic disturbance responses. In this Viewpoint, our goals are to (1) synthesize our experiences with both models, weighing model complexity-process specificity trade-offs, and (2) suggest three priorities for future efforts to improve ecosystem modeling of biotic disturbance impacts to the terrestrial C cycle.
期刊介绍:
The journal is concerned with the use of mathematical models and systems analysis for the description of ecological processes and for the sustainable management of resources. Human activity and well-being are dependent on and integrated with the functioning of ecosystems and the services they provide. We aim to understand these basic ecosystem functions using mathematical and conceptual modelling, systems analysis, thermodynamics, computer simulations, and ecological theory. This leads to a preference for process-based models embedded in theory with explicit causative agents as opposed to strictly statistical or correlative descriptions. These modelling methods can be applied to a wide spectrum of issues ranging from basic ecology to human ecology to socio-ecological systems. The journal welcomes research articles, short communications, review articles, letters to the editor, book reviews, and other communications. The journal also supports the activities of the [International Society of Ecological Modelling (ISEM)](http://www.isemna.org/).