缓慢干旱和突发性干旱的特征及其驱动因素研究:一个多时间尺度干旱识别框架

IF 5 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Zixuan Qi, Yuchen Ye, Yanpeng Cai, Chaoxia Yuan, Yulei Xie, Guanhui Cheng, Pingping Zhang, Lian Sun, Hang Wan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球气候变化改变了传统干旱事件的特征,越来越多的缓慢干旱(SD)迅速转变为突发性干旱(FD)。本文提出了一种新的多时间尺度干旱识别框架(MTSDIF),该框架将历史上的农业干旱事件分为三种类型:SD、FD和慢速到骤发干旱(SFD)。基于MTSDIF,利用GLDAS-Noah根区土壤水分数据,分析了中国多时间尺度干旱的时空特征、演变及其驱动因素。我们的研究证实了MTSDIF对不同发病速度(SD、FD和SFD)的干旱进行分类的有效性。结果表明:1980 ~ 2020年,中国三种干旱事件均表现出短期、中期和长期的周期振荡特征。2000年以前,中国农业干旱以干旱为主,2000年以后,干旱和干旱影响区域不断扩大。与SD相比,影响FD和SFD的关键气象要素出现了超过0.5倍标准差的异常。在中国东南部地区,人为影响土壤、淋滤土壤和初始土壤对FD的响应频率更高。海温指数,包括太平洋El Niño-Southern年际振荡和+PDO和−AMO等年代际变化,显著影响中国季风区FD的发生(p <;0.01)。总之,这些结果强调了理解不同发生速度的干旱事件背后陆地-大气-海洋机制的差异和一致性的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Characteristics and Drivers of Slow Droughts and Flash Droughts: A Multi-Temporal Scale Drought Identification Framework
Global climate change has altered the characteristics of conventional drought events, with an increasing number of Slow droughts (SD) rapidly transitioning into Flash droughts (FD). This study introduces a novel multi-temporal scale drought identification framework (MTSDIF) that classifies historical agricultural drought events into three types: SD, FD, and Slow-to-Flash Drought (SFD). Based on the MTSDIF, the GLDAS-Noah root zone soil moisture dataset was used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics, evolution, and driving factors of multi-temporal scale droughts in China. Our study confirms the effectiveness of the proposed MTSDIF in classifying droughts with different onset speeds (SD, FD, and SFD). The results indicate that, from 1980 to 2020, the three types of drought events in China exhibited short-term, medium-term, and long-term periodic oscillations. Before 2000, SD events were the predominant type of agricultural drought in China, but post-2000, the areas affected by FD and SFD have been continuously expanding. Compared to SD, key meteorological elements influencing FD and SFD show anomalies exceeding 0.5 times the standard deviation. In the southeastern regions of China, areas with human-impacted soils, leached soils, and incept soils exhibit a higher response frequency to FD. Sea surface temperature indices, including the interannual El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the Pacific and interdecadal variations such as the +PDO and −AMO, significantly influence the occurrence of FD in the monsoon regions of China (p < 0.01). Together, the results highlight the necessity of understanding the disparities and consistencies in land-atmosphere-ocean mechanisms behind drought events with varying onset speeds.
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来源期刊
Water Resources Research
Water Resources Research 环境科学-湖沼学
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
13.00%
发文量
599
审稿时长
3.5 months
期刊介绍: Water Resources Research (WRR) is an interdisciplinary journal that focuses on hydrology and water resources. It publishes original research in the natural and social sciences of water. It emphasizes the role of water in the Earth system, including physical, chemical, biological, and ecological processes in water resources research and management, including social, policy, and public health implications. It encompasses observational, experimental, theoretical, analytical, numerical, and data-driven approaches that advance the science of water and its management. Submissions are evaluated for their novelty, accuracy, significance, and broader implications of the findings.
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