气候变暖下中国老年人与气温相关的跌倒死亡率的年龄不平等

IF 8.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Yi Lin, Jinlei Qi, Jianxiong Hu, Jiangmei Liu, Guanhao He, Peng Yin, Tao Liu, Ziqiang Lin, Fengrui Jing, Jinling You, Wenjun Ma, Maigeng Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在量化中国老年人因环境温度导致的跌倒相关死亡的年龄特异性风险和负担。利用2005-2022年期间2759个县/区的数据,我们发现高温和低温都显著增加了与跌倒相关的死亡风险,特别是在中国南方的老年人和老年人中,高温的风险明显更高。预测表明,与温度相关的跌倒死亡率负担将在未来增加,主要影响最年长的老年人,而这种增加主要是由气候变化驱动的。这些发现强调了有效的适应策略的必要性,以减少温度对老年人跌倒相关死亡率的影响,特别是面对气候变化和人口老龄化的双重挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Age inequality in temperature-related fall mortality among old people in China in a warming climate

Age inequality in temperature-related fall mortality among old people in China in a warming climate

This study aimed to quantify the age-specific risk and burden of fall-related mortality attributable to ambient temperature among older adults in China. Using data in 2759 counties/districts during 2005–2022, we found that both high and low temperatures significantly increased the risk of fall-related mortality, with a notably higher risk associated with high temperatures, particularly among the oldest old and people in Southern China. Projections indicate that the fall-related mortality burden associated with temperature will increase in the future, primarily affecting the oldest old, and the increase is mainly driven by climate change. These findings highlight the need for effective adaptation strategies to reduce the impact of temperature on fall-related mortality among older adults, particularly facing double challenges of climate change and population aging.

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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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