人类如何应对巨大的已实现损失?

IF 2.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Redzo Mujcic , Nattavudh Powdthavee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在一个受控的现场环境中,我们的样本中大多数人损失超过9万英镑,我们研究了人类如何应对重大经济损失。大学伦理委员会不会允许用正常的社会科学实验来研究这种巨大损失现象。然而,利害攸关的科学和实际问题却异常重要。在分析的游戏设定中,每个人都会得到10万英镑的现金。然后他们不得不做出冒险的决定。面对一连串的七个问题,个人被要求将他们的现金捐赠分配给一组可能的答案。回答错误的参与者将失去任何现金。在一份英国参与者的样本中,我们发现,随着现金禀赋的损失越来越大,人们变得越来越谨慎。与之前损失2.5万英镑相比,7.5万英镑或以上的实际损失会使投资者完全分散投资的倾向增加50%。当赌注提高到100万美元时,我们在一个较小的美国参与者样本中发现了类似的谨慎反应。我们的研究似乎是第一个能够系统地计算人类如何应对巨大且无法挽回的经济损失的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How do humans respond to large realized losses?
In a controlled field setting, in which the majority of people in our sample lose more than £90,000, we examine how human beings respond to major financial losses. University ethics boards would not allow this kind of huge-loss phenomenon to be studied with normal social-science experiments. Yet the scientific and practical issues at stake are unusually important ones. In the analyzed gameshow setting, individuals are handed £100,000 in cash. They then have to make risky decisions. Facing a sequence of seven questions, individuals are required to distribute their cash endowment over a set of possible answers. Participants lose any cash placed on a wrong answer. In a sample of British participants, we find that people become increasingly more cautious as they lose more of their cash endowment. A realized prior loss of £75,000 or more increases the propensity to fully diversify by 50 percentage points compared to a prior loss of £25,000. We find a similar cautious response in a smaller sample of US participants when the stakes are raised to $1 million US dollars. Our study appears to be the first to be able to calculate systematically how human beings react to large and unrecoverable financial losses.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
31.40%
发文量
69
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: The Journal aims to present research that will improve understanding of behavioral, in particular psychological, aspects of economic phenomena and processes. The Journal seeks to be a channel for the increased interest in using behavioral science methods for the study of economic behavior, and so to contribute to better solutions of societal problems, by stimulating new approaches and new theorizing about economic affairs. Economic psychology as a discipline studies the psychological mechanisms that underlie economic behavior. It deals with preferences, judgments, choices, economic interaction, and factors influencing these, as well as the consequences of judgements and decisions for economic processes and phenomena. This includes the impact of economic institutions upon human behavior and well-being. Studies in economic psychology may relate to different levels of aggregation, from the household and the individual consumer to the macro level of whole nations. Economic behavior in connection with inflation, unemployment, taxation, economic development, as well as consumer information and economic behavior in the market place are thus among the fields of interest. The journal also encourages submissions dealing with social interaction in economic contexts, like bargaining, negotiation, or group decision-making. The Journal of Economic Psychology contains: (a) novel reports of empirical (including: experimental) research on economic behavior; (b) replications studies; (c) assessments of the state of the art in economic psychology; (d) articles providing a theoretical perspective or a frame of reference for the study of economic behavior; (e) articles explaining the implications of theoretical developments for practical applications; (f) book reviews; (g) announcements of meetings, conferences and seminars.
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