Prognostic value of liver fibrosis scores in ambulatory patients with heart failure.

Objectives: To investigate the association of four liver fibrosis scores - Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), AST/ALT ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Gamma-glutamyl transferase-to-platelet ratio index (GPRI) - and clinical outcomes in ambulatory patients with heart failure (HF).

Methods: We conducted a retrospective study involving 2379 patients with HF referred to a specialized clinic from January 2010 to June 2022. We used multivariable Cox´s regression models to study the association between liver fibrosis scores and long-term clinical outcomes (all-cause death and the combined endpoints all-cause death or HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death or heart transplantation). Areas under receiver-operator curves were used to evaluate the discriminative capacity of each score for predicting 1-year clinical outcomes, as well as to analyze their incremental predictive value in addition to the broadly validated MAGGIC risk score.

Results: Median follow up was 1568 days. GPRI was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause death or HF hospitalization (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07-1.18), all-cause death (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08-1.20) and cardiovascular death or heart transplantation (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17). FIB-4 and AST/ALT ratios were also independently associated with all-cause mortality. According to receiver-operator curve analyses, GPRI showed the best discriminative capacity among the four liver fibrosis scores evaluated in the study to predict 1-year clinical outcomes. The predictive value of GPRI was incremental to the one of the MAGGIC risk score.

Conclusions: Liver fibrosis scores are associated with long-term clinical outcomes in ambulatory patients with HF. In our study, the predictive capacity of GPRI outperformed the one of FIB-4, APRI and AST/ALT and was incremental to the one of the MAGGIC risk score.