{"title":"用渐近回归从你的数据中学习更多。","authors":"Alasdair D F Clarke, Amelia R Hunt","doi":"10.1037/xge0001710","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>All measures of behavior have a temporal context. Changes in behavior over time often take a similar form: monotonically decreasing or increasing toward an asymptote. Whether these behavioral dynamics are the object of study or a nuisance variable, their inclusion in models of data makes conclusions more complete, robust, and well-specified, and can contribute to theory development. Here, we demonstrate that asymptotic regression is a relatively simple tool that can be applied to repeated-measures data to estimate three parameters: starting point, rate of change, and asymptote. Each of these parameters has a meaningful interpretation in terms of ecological validity, behavioral dynamics, and performance limits, respectively. They can also be used to help decide how many trials to include in an experiment and as a principled approach to reducing noise in data. We demonstrate the broad utility of asymptotic regression for modeling the effect of the passage of time within a single trial and for changes over trials of an experiment, using two existing data sets and a set of new visual search data. An important limit of asymptotic regression is that it cannot be applied to data that are stationary or change nonmonotonically. But for data that have performance changes that progress steadily toward an asymptote, as many behavioral measures do, it is a simple and powerful tool for describing those changes. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":15698,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Psychology: General","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Learn more from your data with asymptotic regression.\",\"authors\":\"Alasdair D F Clarke, Amelia R Hunt\",\"doi\":\"10.1037/xge0001710\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>All measures of behavior have a temporal context. Changes in behavior over time often take a similar form: monotonically decreasing or increasing toward an asymptote. Whether these behavioral dynamics are the object of study or a nuisance variable, their inclusion in models of data makes conclusions more complete, robust, and well-specified, and can contribute to theory development. Here, we demonstrate that asymptotic regression is a relatively simple tool that can be applied to repeated-measures data to estimate three parameters: starting point, rate of change, and asymptote. Each of these parameters has a meaningful interpretation in terms of ecological validity, behavioral dynamics, and performance limits, respectively. They can also be used to help decide how many trials to include in an experiment and as a principled approach to reducing noise in data. We demonstrate the broad utility of asymptotic regression for modeling the effect of the passage of time within a single trial and for changes over trials of an experiment, using two existing data sets and a set of new visual search data. An important limit of asymptotic regression is that it cannot be applied to data that are stationary or change nonmonotonically. But for data that have performance changes that progress steadily toward an asymptote, as many behavioral measures do, it is a simple and powerful tool for describing those changes. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15698,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Experimental Psychology: General\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-02-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Experimental Psychology: General\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1037/xge0001710\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Experimental Psychology: General","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1037/xge0001710","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
所有的行为测量都有一个时间背景。随着时间的推移,行为的变化往往采取类似的形式:单调地减少或增加渐近线。无论这些行为动力学是研究的对象还是一个令人讨厌的变量,将它们纳入数据模型使结论更加完整、稳健和明确,并有助于理论发展。在这里,我们证明渐近回归是一种相对简单的工具,可以应用于重复测量的数据来估计三个参数:起点,变化率和渐近线。这些参数中的每一个都分别在生态有效性、行为动力学和性能限制方面有意义的解释。它们还可以用来帮助决定在实验中包含多少试验,并作为减少数据噪声的原则方法。我们使用两个现有数据集和一组新的视觉搜索数据,展示了渐近回归在单个试验中对时间流逝的影响进行建模以及对实验中试验的变化进行建模的广泛实用性。渐近回归的一个重要限制是它不能应用于平稳或非单调变化的数据。但对于那些表现变化的数据,就像许多行为测量方法一样,朝着渐近线稳步发展,它是描述这些变化的一个简单而强大的工具。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
Learn more from your data with asymptotic regression.
All measures of behavior have a temporal context. Changes in behavior over time often take a similar form: monotonically decreasing or increasing toward an asymptote. Whether these behavioral dynamics are the object of study or a nuisance variable, their inclusion in models of data makes conclusions more complete, robust, and well-specified, and can contribute to theory development. Here, we demonstrate that asymptotic regression is a relatively simple tool that can be applied to repeated-measures data to estimate three parameters: starting point, rate of change, and asymptote. Each of these parameters has a meaningful interpretation in terms of ecological validity, behavioral dynamics, and performance limits, respectively. They can also be used to help decide how many trials to include in an experiment and as a principled approach to reducing noise in data. We demonstrate the broad utility of asymptotic regression for modeling the effect of the passage of time within a single trial and for changes over trials of an experiment, using two existing data sets and a set of new visual search data. An important limit of asymptotic regression is that it cannot be applied to data that are stationary or change nonmonotonically. But for data that have performance changes that progress steadily toward an asymptote, as many behavioral measures do, it is a simple and powerful tool for describing those changes. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Experimental Psychology: General publishes articles describing empirical work that bridges the traditional interests of two or more communities of psychology. The work may touch on issues dealt with in JEP: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, JEP: Human Perception and Performance, JEP: Animal Behavior Processes, or JEP: Applied, but may also concern issues in other subdisciplines of psychology, including social processes, developmental processes, psychopathology, neuroscience, or computational modeling. Articles in JEP: General may be longer than the usual journal publication if necessary, but shorter articles that bridge subdisciplines will also be considered.