离散时间流行病模型的稳定性分析与数值模拟

Q1 Mathematics
Iqbal M. Batiha , Mohammad S. Hijazi , Amel Hioual , Adel Ouannas , Mohammad Odeh , Shaher Momani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究研究了一个离散的流行病反应-扩散模型,重点关注局部和全局稳定性的细微差别。通过采用二阶差分格式和L1近似,我们建立了一个鲁棒的数值框架来模拟疾病传播。分析开始于对两个关键平衡点的彻底检查:无病平衡点,这意味着疾病的完全根除;地方病平衡点,这意味着疾病在人群中持续存在。通过这一探索,我们试图确定可能导致成功遏制或持续感染的具体条件。为了评估系统的全局稳定性,我们利用Lyapunov方法,一种强大的分析技术,使我们能够得到全局渐近稳定的充分条件。这种严格的方法保证,在规定的条件下,系统将最终达到稳定的平衡,而不管任何初始扰动。为了补充我们的理论框架,我们进行了数值模拟来验证我们的稳定性结果。这些模拟提供了对系统动态行为的更深入的了解,说明了各种参数和条件如何影响其演变。此外,数值模拟不仅强化了我们的理论发现,而且有助于系统复杂动力学的可视化和解释。这种分析严谨性和数值验证之间的协同作用增强了我们模型的可靠性,使其成为了解流行病传播和制定有效控制策略的关键工具。因此,我们的全面调查丰富了反应扩散系统的理论景观及其对管理疾病爆发的实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stability analysis and numerical simulations of a discrete-time epidemic model
This research investigates a discrete epidemic reaction–diffusion model, focusing on the nuances of both local and global stability. By employing second-order difference schemes alongside L1 approximations, we establish a robust numerical framework for simulating disease spread. The analysis begins with a thorough examination of two crucial equilibrium points: the disease-free equilibrium, which signifies complete eradication of the disease, and the endemic equilibrium, where the disease persists within the population. Through this exploration, we seek to identify the specific conditions that can lead to either successful containment or ongoing infection. To assess the global stability of the system, we utilize the Lyapunov method, a powerful analytical technique that enables us to derive sufficient conditions for global asymptotic stability. This rigorous methodology guarantees that, under defined conditions, the system will ultimately reach a stable equilibrium, irrespective of any initial perturbations. Complementing our theoretical framework, we conduct numerical simulations that validate our stability results. These simulations provide deeper insights into the system’s dynamic behavior, illustrating how various parameters and conditions influence its evolution. Moreover, the numerical simulations not only reinforce our theoretical findings but also facilitate the visualization and interpretation of the system’s complex dynamics. This synergy between analytical rigor and numerical validation enhances the reliability of our model, establishing it as a critical tool for understanding epidemic propagation and developing effective control strategies. Our comprehensive investigation thus enriches both the theoretical landscape of reaction–diffusion systems and their practical implications for managing disease outbreaks.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
138
审稿时长
14 weeks
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