利用可解释机器学习研究西安市室内PM2.5污染特征及其对健康的影响

Zezhi Peng , Jiaer Yang , Jian Sun , Jing Duan , Zhiwen Chen , Xinyi Niu , Tafeng Hu , Yu Huang , Hongmei Xu , Junji Cao , Zhenxing Shen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

室内环境细颗粒物(PM2.5)暴露对人体健康有害,但其来源和对健康的影响尚不完全清楚。本研究在中国西安进行了为期两周的监测活动,评估了12个家庭的室内和室外PM2.5污染水平、呼出的一氧化氮含量和细胞因子(白细胞介素-6 (IL-6)、肿瘤坏死因子-α和8‑羟基-2′-脱氧鸟苷)。结果显示,室内PM2.5平均浓度为71.18 μg/m3,超过世界卫生组织(25 μg/m3)和中国室内空气质量标准(50 μg/m3)。随机森林回归模型有效预测室内PM2.5水平(R2 = 0.84),而SHapley加性解释表明室外PM2.5是室内浓度的主要贡献者,贡献率为38%。虽然平均FeNO水平(14.68 ppb)没有超过健康阈值或与PM2.5总体浓度相关,但儿童的FeNO水平对PM2.5的敏感性明显高于成人。相反,IL-6水平与室内PM2.5浓度密切相关(0.67,p <;0.05),尤其对吸烟有反应(0.72,p <;0.05)和室外PM2.5 (0.62, p <;0.05)。本研究强调了室内PM2.5暴露对健康的重要影响,强调了西安市室内污染的复杂来源及其影响,为改善室内空气质量提供了科学依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Exploring indoor PM2.5 pollution characteristics in Xi'an city and its health implications using interpretable machine learning

Exploring indoor PM2.5 pollution characteristics in Xi'an city and its health implications using interpretable machine learning
Indoor ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure is harmful to human health, but its sources and health effects are not fully understood. This study conducted a 2-week monitoring campaign in Xi'an, China, assessing levels of indoor and outdoor PM2.5 pollution, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, and cytokines (interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α, and 8‑hydroxy-2′-deoxyguanosine) in 12 households. The results revealed an average indoor PM2.5 concentration of 71.18 μg/m3, exceeding WHO (25 μg/m3) and China indoor air quality standards (50 μg/m3). A random forest regression model effectively predicted indoor PM2.5 levels (R2 = 0.84), while SHapley Additive exPlanations indicated that outdoor PM2.5 was the primary contributor to indoor concentrations, contributing 38 %. Although average FeNO levels (14.68 ppb) did not exceed healthy thresholds or correlate with overall PM2.5 concentrations, FeNO levels were notably more sensitive to PM2.5 in children than in adults. Conversely, IL-6 levels were correlated strongly with indoor PM2.5 concentrations (0.67, p < 0.05) and were particularly responsive to smoking (0.72, p < 0.05) and outdoor PM2.5 (0.62, p < 0.05). This study highlights the critical effect of indoor PM2.5 exposure on health and emphasizes the complex sources and implications of indoor pollution in Xi'an, providing a scientific basis for improving indoor air quality.
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