观测到的全球陆地降水总量和极端降水变化概况,重点是非洲

IF 10.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Tewodros Addisu Yate , Guoyu Ren
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引用次数: 0

摘要

降水是对自然系统和人类系统具有重要影响的关键气候变量之一,地球系统的几个重要部分对其时空变化作出响应。因此,在全球和区域尺度上进行了各种研究,以评估降水的变化和趋势,更多地强调极端事件。本综述评估了利用现场数据或基于测量的数据集开展的关于降水趋势的现有研究,检查了它们的可比性和一致性,以确定区域趋势。它还试图证明与降水数据的可获得性和可获得性有关的紧迫挑战,特别侧重于非洲。现有的基于测量的全球和区域研究是有限的,而且通常是多样化的,因此很难从它们的研究结果中推断出强有力的区域趋势。在数据周期、分析区域、方法、降水指标和使用的数据集类型方面观察到复杂的差异。本审查指出,各大洲的台站分布不均衡,这也反映在现有的全球数据集中,而非洲是覆盖最少的全球区域之一。然而,一些研究一致认为,长期降水总量在北非表现出不显著的减少趋势,而在西非部分地区则表现出显著的减少趋势。相反,亚洲、北欧和中欧、加拿大南部和美国东部的长期年降水总量显著增加。一般来说,尽管考虑到不同的分析时期,全球大多数地区的总趋势和极端趋势是一致的。RX1day、RX5day和r95pto指数极端趋势显著增加的地区包括南非、东亚、加拿大、北欧和中欧、美国东北部和澳大利亚西部。总体而言,需要作出更多努力,大幅扩大非洲各地监测站的覆盖范围,并放宽限制,以便更多地获取数据。在非洲各地建立和监测气候观测站的倡议需要得到支持。使用现场或基于量具的数据集的区域研究需要增加和采用可比较的分析区域和数据期,并评估和调整城市站降水数据的系统性偏差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An overview of observed changes in precipitation totals and extremes over global land, with a focus on Africa
Precipitation is one of the crucial climatic variables that has significant impact on the natural and human systems, with several important sectors of the Earth's system responding to its spatiotemporal variability. Consequently, various studies are conducted on global and regional scales to evaluate changes and trends in precipitation, with more emphasis on extremes. This review assesses existing studies on precipitation trends conducted using in situ data or gauge-based datasets, examining their comparability and consistency to identify regional trends. It also seeks to demonstrate the pressing challenges related to the availability and accessibility of precipitation data, with a particular focus on Africa. The existing gauge-based global and regional studies are limited and generally diverse, making it difficult to infer robust regional trends from their findings. Complex differences are observed in data periods, analysis region, methods, precipitation metrics, and the type of datasets used. This review notes that there is uneven station distribution in each continent, and that this is also mirrored in the existing global datasets, while Africa constitutes one of the least covered global regions. Yet, a few studies agree that long-term precipitation totals exhibit non-significant decreasing trends over northern Africa and significantly decreasing trends in parts of western Africa. Conversely, long-term annual precipitation totals have increased significantly over Asia, northern and central Europe, southern Canada and the eastern United States. Generally, despite accounting for different analysis periods, total and extreme trends match up for most global regions. Areas with significant increasing extreme trends, such as RX1day, RX5day and R95pTOT indices, include South Africa, eastern Asia, Canada, northern and central Europe, northeastern United States, and western Australia. Overall, more efforts are needed to significantly expand station coverage across Africa and ease restrictions to allow greater access to data. Initiatives to establish and monitor climate stations across Africa need to be supported. Regional studies that use in situ or gauge-based datasets need to increase and employ comparable analysis regions and data periods, as well as assess and adjust for systematic biases in precipitation data at urban stations.
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来源期刊
Earth-Science Reviews
Earth-Science Reviews 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
21.70
自引率
5.80%
发文量
294
审稿时长
15.1 weeks
期刊介绍: Covering a much wider field than the usual specialist journals, Earth Science Reviews publishes review articles dealing with all aspects of Earth Sciences, and is an important vehicle for allowing readers to see their particular interest related to the Earth Sciences as a whole.
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