复杂系统中多尺度传染病的建模

IF 23.9 1区物理与天体物理 Q1 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Physics Reports Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI:10.1016/j.physrep.2025.01.006

Jiajun Xian , Minghui Liu , Xuan Cheng , Meiyi Yang , Tianshu Xie , Xiaomin Wang , Ming Liu , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Dan Yang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jinlin Ye

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引用次数: 0

摘要

传染病在现实世界复杂系统中的传播速度异常迅速，在不同尺度上呈现出丰富的时空演化模式和关键现象。利用数学建模方法研究多尺度传染病是理解传染病规律的关键。本文综述了传染病多尺度建模的最新进展，包括微观、中观和宏观尺度，分别描述了传染病在事实-事实接触（如会议）、大都市地区和全球范围内的传播。本文主要介绍了模拟方法的最新进展、复杂系统尺度的影响以及在三个尺度上与之相关的关键现象。最后，讨论了多尺度传染病模型研究面临的挑战和有待解决的问题。

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Modelling multiscale infectious disease in complex systems

The infectious diseases spreading in real-world complex systems are exceptionally rapid and present rich spatiotemporal evolution patterns and critical phenomena at different scales. Using mathematical modelling approaches to study multiscale infectious diseases is crucial for understanding the rules of infectious diseases. This review comprehensively summarizes the latest advancements in multiscale infectious disease modelling, including microcosmic, mesoscopic and macroscopic scales, respectively, describing the infectious disease spreading in fact-to-fact contact (e.g., conference), metropolitan areas and globally. This review mainly presents the recent progress of the modelling approaches, the effects of complex systems scale, and the critical phenomena associated with them at the three scales. Finally, the challenges and the open issues for future studies for multiscale infectious disease modelling are also discussed.

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来源期刊

Physics Reports 物理-物理：综合

CiteScore

56.10

自引率

0.70%

发文量

102

审稿时长

9.1 weeks

期刊介绍： Physics Reports keeps the active physicist up-to-date on developments in a wide range of topics by publishing timely reviews which are more extensive than just literature surveys but normally less than a full monograph. Each report deals with one specific subject and is generally published in a separate volume. These reviews are specialist in nature but contain enough introductory material to make the main points intelligible to a non-specialist. The reader will not only be able to distinguish important developments and trends in physics but will also find a sufficient number of references to the original literature.